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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

NATO Mission a Boost for Berlin
31 August 2001

Summary

Germany has taken a backseat in the NATO-led disarmament mission to
Macedonia. Berlin will be able to use to its advantage the mission's likely
failure by securing greater influence in the Balkans and strengthening its
position at the center of a united Europe.

Analysis

British and French troops began deploying to Macedonia Aug. 23, within hours
of NATO's decision to proceed with a mission to disarm ethnic Albanian
rebels. Germany's participation in the mission, dubbed Operation Essential
Harvest, was uncertain until the German Bundestag approved a 500 troop
deployment Aug. 29.

Military and political shortcomings have kept Germany from taking a
leadership role in the European-led action in Macedonia, apparently
undercutting Berlin's power within NATO. The probable failure of the
operation, however, could allow Germany to both solidify its influence in the
Balkans and challenge British and French authority on European security
issues.

By suppressing British and French ambitions and strengthening its influence
in Europe's unstable backyard, Germany will more firmly establish itself as
the core of a united and eventually peaceful Europe. From there, Berlin could
wield more power both within Europe and globally.



A German-led European defense force may be less likely to intervene
internationally than one led by Britain or France because of Germany's
history and cultural reticence to use force. This could put more pressure on
the United States to continue to act as a global policeman.






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