-Caveat Lector-

How a president's words can lead to war
By Patrick J. Buchanan
Friday, February 15, 2002

Ideas have consequences, wrote conservative Richard Weaver. So do words,
when uttered by the most powerful man on earth.  By threatening war
against Iran, Iraq and North Korea in his now-famous "Axis of Evil"
address, the president painted himself into a corner. Either Bush now goes
to war against one of these regimes, or he will be humiliated and exposed
as a bellicose bluff.

Let me say it again: Whoever fed Bush those lines, or did not argue
against his delivering them, disserved the president. For that speech has
blown our coalition against terror to smithereens.

Not a single NATO ally has endorsed Bush's war talk. The French and
Germans are raking us. South Korea was stunned. No Arab ally save Kuwait
stands with us. Iran's cooperation in the Afghan war has come to an end.
And the president's united front at home is now split and wrangling over
the wisdom of his war talk.

And what did the "axis of evil" phrase accomplish? Within hours of his
speech, Bush began to back away, insisting that he was still ready for
dialogue with North Korea. On Tuesday, Secretary Powell told the Congress,
"With respect to Iran and with respect to North Korea, there is no plan to
start a war with these nations."

That leaves Iraq, and it is now evident Saddam Hussein is Bush's primary
target. As Powell told Congress: "With respect to Iraq ... regime change
would be in the best interests of the region, the best interests of the
Iraqi people. ... And we are looking at a variety of options that would
bring that about."

To explore those options, Vice President Cheney has scheduled a March trip
to Britain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Oman, the United Arab
Emirates, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait and Turkey - all of Iraq's neighbors,
save Iran. But all this begs the question: Why Iraq?

When it comes to supporting terrorism, Iraq is far behind Syria and Libya,
and not even in a league with Iran, which is believed to have been behind
the Khobar Towers bombing, supports Hezbollah and shipped the boatload of
rockets to the PLO. Iran and North Korea are far closer to acquiring
nuclear weapons, and both have developed medium-range missiles. Meanwhile,
Iraq relies on Scuds. Nor can Iraq compete in the export of nuclear and
missile technology with China or North Korea.

Why, then, has Iraq emerged as the designated enemy? One reason: fear -
the fear that should a vengeful Saddam acquire an atom bomb, he will use
it to blackmail the Gulf states or strike America. Rather than run the
risk of a nuclear-armed Saddam, Washington wants to finish him, even if it
means sending an army to Baghdad.

This is a grudge fight. Bush's men are determined to finish the job his
father began: terminating Saddam. And the planned war has less to do with
Sept. 11 than with the conviction of Bush's men that denying weapons of
mass destruction to Iraq justifies preventive war.

But there are obstacles on Bush's road to war. First is the Constitution.
Bush does not have the authority to launch a preventive war against Iraq.
The Security Council has not authorized a second war on Iraq, and the
congressional authorization for the war on terror covers only regimes that
supported or harbored the terrorists who perpetrated the horrors of 9-11.
And there is no evidence Iraq had anything to do with Sept. 11 or with
Osama bin Laden.

Second, while neo-conservatives may tout an invasion of Iraq as a
cakewalk, the U.S. forces necessary to do the promenading are nowhere in
sight. Hundreds of thousands of U.S. soldiers will be needed. And while
Iraq is not as strong militarily as it was in August 1990, after the tens
of thousands of air strikes of Desert Storm ravaged its war machine,
neither is the United States.

The accuracy of our new weapons is awesome, but the U.S. Army, Navy and
Air Force are only half of what we had in 1991, when we had supporting
units from Britain, France, Syria, Egypt and Saudi Arabia. This time we
have no allies, and the "Arab street," watching Al Jazeera's nightly
pictures of Israelis crushing the intifada, are far more hostile - if not
hateful - toward the United States.

With his "axis" speech, Bush told everyone in the saloon that one of three
outlaws in town was headed for Boot Hill, and he strapped on his guns.
Now, he must deliver the corpse to the coroner.

His problem is he has not been deputized, he has no posse, the town does
not want any more gunplay, and the outlaws are still defiantly there. He
has to take one of them down, or the Western becomes a comedy.

Thus do words seal off the exit ramps away from war.

http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=26484

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