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Kurds Savor a New, and Endangered, Golden Age

July 28, 2002
By JOHN F. BURNS






PESHKHABOR, Iraq - "Welcome to free Kurdistan, my friend!"
cried the grinning boatman, Adnan, as he pulled away from
the Syrian side of the Tigris River in the converted
rowboat that serves as the ferry to the other Iraq, the one
outside the dismal grip of Saddam Hussein.

The boat itself, powered by a spluttering engine and
clearing the water by only inches, serves as a metaphor for
the self-governing domain the Kurds have established in
northern Iraq. The craft's patched-together fragility, as
well as the pervasive geniality of the boatman and his
assistants, captures much of what the Kurds have
accomplished in the past 10 years.

The Iraqi Kurds' domain, at the meeting point of Syria,
Iraq and Turkey, is a far cry from the Iraq controlled by
Mr. Hussein. To enter that Iraq, south of the no-flight
zone patrolled by American and British warplanes that have
kept Iraqi troops and authority from the Kurdish region
since 1991, is to encounter sullen warnings, the menace of
border officials and the darkness that Mr. Hussein's
23-year rule has cast across the rest of the country.

In the northern territory, a Switzerland-size crescent
covering about a tenth of Iraq, the Kurds have come as
close as ever to their centuries-old dream of building
their own nation. Hemmed in by a longstanding resolve among
Arabs, Persians and Turks to deny the 25 million Kurds of
this region a state of their own, the Kurds of Iraq are
savoring their freedoms, yet deeply uneasy about new
political crosscurrents swirling across the territory.

Never truly secure as long as their domain exists outside
international law and is unrecognized by the Iraqi
Constitution, the Kurds are faced now with a new problem
growing out of President Bush's vow to oust Mr. Hussein. In
effect, the American plan proposes to upend the Iraqi
chessboard, and many Kurds fear that, whatever happens,
they may lose much of the autonomy they now enjoy.

For now, though, the trip that starts at Peshkhabor is
relaxed in a way that Mr. Hussein's Iraq has never been.
The only threat is a few miles downstream, where the Iraqi
ruler's armored columns maintain a brooding vigil, broken
occasionally by sniper fire and mortar shells that kill and
maim Kurdish farmers, smugglers and others who enter the
neutral zone between the Kurdish front-line fighters known
as peshmergas (meaning "those who face death") and Iraqi
troops.

In the territory, a mostly Kurdish population of 3.6
million people, about a sixth of Iraq's population, lives
amid a landscape of stunning beauty: to the south, the
ancient cities of Dohuk, Erbil and Sulaimaniya lying on the
rim of the oil-rich desert; to the north, the great plain
rising into folded foothills and soaring mountains,
carpeted with golden wheat fields, dark woods and a blaze
of wildflowers in red and blue and yellow.

It is a remarkable if improbable place, a sort of dreamland
for the Kurds. Seeking precedents in their long history of
repression, they cite Kurdish principalities that sprang up
in this region between the 16th and 19th centuries, when
Iraq was part of the Ottoman Empire, ruled by Turks. But
even those distant times, the Kurds say, pale beside what
exists today. Everywhere in the north, Kurds refer to the
present as their golden age.

They rule a region that is 250 miles wide and at places 125
miles deep, bordered by Syria to the west, Turkey to the
north, and Iran to the east. Within these boundaries, the
Kurds say, they have created freedoms unknown in Iraq since
the state's founding in 1921: the foundations for a civil
society, that, they say, exists to the same degree nowhere
else in the Arab-dominated world.

The closest parallel, these Kurds say, is Israel - a
country many Kurds strongly support, even though they are
mostly Muslims, because of a sense of affinity with the
Jews' long quest for a homeland and because of a shared
sense of the peril posed by Mr. Hussein. The parallel is
extended to the Palestinians, who, many Kurds say, achieved
much less with the autonomy granted to them after the Oslo
accords of 1993 than Kurds have achieved here.

"An idea is born here: The Middle East could be different,"
said Barham Salih, 41, a British-educated Muslim who heads
the government of one of the Kurds' political entities, the
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, which controls the
territory's eastern half. To the west, a separate regional
government operates under the control of a rival group, the
Kurdistan Democratic Party.


Carving Out a Free Zone


In both regions, there are opposition parties and dozens of
free-ranging newspapers and satellite television channels,
as well as international telephone calls and Internet cafes
where people are free to visit any Web site they like. All
this is banned or restricted in Mr. Hussein's Iraq, where,
for example, Internet cafes are open only to those with
police permits, and then only for access to approved Web
sites.

In their "liberated territory," the ruling Kurdish groups
allow even Mr. Hussein's state-controlled newspapers to be
sold and Baghdad's television channels to be shown, on the
principle, as one Kurdish official explained it, that "it
gives our people a chance to laugh at Saddam's propaganda,
where once they would have cried."

The Kurdish-controlled territory is notable, too, for the
absence of the apparatus of repression that has turned Mr.
Hussein's Iraq into a terror state. The old secret police
buildings - testaments to the torture, rape and killing by
Mr. Hussein's enforcers that have been chronicled in scores
of Western human rights reports - sit abandoned now, or
have been turned to benign uses.

The Kurds have no special courts, and claim to have no
political prisoners.

In this Iraq, the United States and Britain are hailed as
liberators, for the daily patrolling of Kurdish skies that
has cost the two countries nearly $10 billion to maintain.
When children here wave at aircraft tracing vapor trails
high above, they are saluting the powers that banished,
with the no-flight zone, the terrors of Mr. Hussein. But
the Kurds also fear that they are powers now pushing them
toward a new confrontation that could threaten all they
have gained.

When President Bush began saying this year that Mr. Hussein
"has got to go," because of intelligence reports that he
continues to develop nuclear, chemical and biological
weapons that could be handed to terrorist groups, he
effectively placed the Kurds on notice that the days of
self-rule, or at least the days of operating outside Iraq's
political structures, might be ending.

In recent months, groups of intelligence agents, military
advisers and government officials from the United States
and Britain have been making clandestine visits to the
Kurdish-controlled territory. Many of those trips have been
in the unmarked black helicopters that fly important
visitors on secret flights from Turkey. At secret
locations, Kurdish officials say, these shadowy visitors
have been mapping out ways the Kurds can assist in the
overthrow of Mr. Hussein.

So far, Kurdish officials say, they have been given no
details of the Americans' plans beyond being told that
there will be no attack before next year. This tallies with
reports from Washington, where the Pentagon is said to have
concluded that a military offensive, involving as many as
250,000 American troops along with bases in as many as
eight neighboring countries, will take at least that long
to prepare. At the same time, the Central Intelligence
Agency is said to be exploring ways of toppling Mr. Hussein
by a military coup.

Few people would have more reason than Iraqi Kurds to hail
the demise of Mr. Hussein, who attacked them with poison
gas when they allied themselves with Iran during the two
nations' war in the 1980's, then killed thousands of other
Kurds in the crackdown that followed a failed Kurdish
uprising after the Persian Gulf war in 1991. Few
conversations here end without a tally of the family
members and friends numbered among the dead.


The Enemy of Their Enemy


But as the Kurds see it, Mr.
Bush is now asking them to bear the greatest risks.
Concerns about an offensive have a personal edge: Many
Kurds are deeply bitter that the first President Bush
encouraged a Kurdish uprising against Mr. Hussein
immediately after the gulf war, then failed to support it
until a million Kurds had fled to Turkey. That exodus
prompted the United Nations to declare a safe haven for the
returning refugees, and the United States and Britain to
impose the no-flight zone.

The fear is that a new American war could founder, leaving
the Kurds exposed to the full might of Iraqi reprisals as
American troops withdrew; or that Mr. Hussein might make a
pre-emptive strike into the Kurdish-controlled areas to
deny the Americans use of the Kurdish area as a base.

"Saddam is still the same; with Bush, only the `W' is
different from the father," said Fadil Mirani, a member of
a hard-line group within the leadership of the Kurdistan
Democratic Party that is most wary of Washington's plans.

"We don't have the luxury of the policy wonks in
Washington," said Mr. Salih, who last year completed 10
years as the Patriotic Union's representative in
Washington, with close links to many of the C.I.A.,
Pentagon and State Department planners now working on Mr.
Bush's strategy. "They can afford to make mistakes; we
cannot. We live here; they do not."

Just as keenly, the Kurds fear that the very "regime
change" that Mr. Bush advocates could replace one dictator
with another. Washington has always favored a strongman
government in Baghdad, Kurds say, as a counterweight to the
Islamic radicalism of Iran's ayatollahs and as the kind of
leadership capable of holding Iraq and its fractious
Shiite, Kurdish and Arab populations together.

Kurds presume that a new Iraqi ruler would come from the
same Sunni Arab minority as Mr. Hussein, Iraq's traditional
ruling class, and would be far from certain to support the
kind of autonomy the Kurds now enjoy. Leaders of the
Arab-dominated opposition to Mr. Hussein, many of them
living in Britain and the United States, have mostly been
vague in response to the Kurds' demands that they commit
themselves to Kurdish autonomy within a democratic federal
system for a future Iraq.

So anguished have the Kurds become that they have
subordinated some of the rivalry between the ruling parties
and presented the Bush administration with what they say is
a blunt message: guarantee our freedoms in a future Iraq,
or count us out.

"Saddam is a man of infinite cruelty, he is an evil man,"
said Hamida Fandi, a 70-year-old veteran of Kurdish
guerrilla campaigns who is the defense minister in Erbil.
"But however evil he may be, the Kurdish people cannot be
expected to sacrifice their freedoms to America's desire to
eliminate him."

But other senior Kurdish leaders have argued for
unequivocal support for the bid to topple Mr. Hussein,
figuring it will go ahead with or without them. "What we
have here is a bubble, a comfortable bubble to be sure, but
still a bubble," one official in Sulaimaniya said. "We are
utterly dependent for our survival on the United States and
Britain. So if we have a chance to join the Americans in
getting rid of Saddam and building a new, democratic Iraq,
we must take it."

Most Kurds, however, seem to see the status quo - Mr.
Hussein in power in Baghdad, Western air power keeping him
at bay - as their best bet.

In private, most acknowledge, as do their leaders, that the
age-old dream of a Kurdish state encompassing minorities in
Syria, Turkey and Iran, as well as Iraq, is foreclosed by
those states' implacable opposition and by an American
veto. Failing that goal, they say that the freedoms of the
past decade may be the most they can attain.

"Of course we wish we had a chance to have an independent
state, but we have accepted our fate, that we are condemned
to live as part of the state called Iraq," one top Kurdish
leader said.

If few of the Kurds' old enemies in Baghdad, Tehran and
Ankara are ready to believe that resignation, Washington
evidently is, judging by remarks made in Istanbul two weeks
ago by Deputy Defense Secretary Paul D. Wolfowitz, one of
the Bush administration's leading hawks on Iraq. While
urging Turkey's support for Mr. Hussein's overthrow, Mr.
Wolfowitz in effect argued that the country should abandon
its suspicions about the Iraqi Kurds. "A separate Kurdish
state in the north would be destabilizing to Turkey, and
would be unacceptable to the United States," he said.

"Fortunately, the Kurds of northern Iraq increasingly seem
to understand this fact," he said, "and understand the
importance of thinking of themselves as Iraqis who will
participate fully in the political life of a future
democratic Iraq."

Still, many Kurds would prefer not to take on Mr. Hussein.
Those who take this view cite an equilibrium - brittle, but
surprisingly enduring through the past five years - that
has developed between the Kurdish territory and Mr.
Hussein's Iraq. The relationship has become as much one of
cooperation as confrontation.


A Strange Coexistence


The proof is available at crossing points like Chamchamal,
on the desert floor about 40 miles outside Sulaimaniya.
Here, Kurds travel south to Baghdad or Kirkuk, an oil city,
for medical treatment that is not available in the Kurdish
region, or to trade truckloads of fresh fruit and
vegetables. Northbound, traders in battered trucks and cars
carry auto parts, furniture, toys, household equipment and
a host of other products.

Both sides charge customs duties, and bribes are common.
Kurdish officials check northbound Iraqi travelers against
lists of known Iraqi agents. "We Kurds will never trust the
Iraqis, as long as Saddam is in power," said Latif Hamid, a
border guard checking and rechecking the identity cards of
Arab Iraqis arriving at Chamchamal. "We can never forget
what they have done."

But identity checks aside, it is mostly an open frontier
for anybody on either side who dares to cross it.

To the west, tanker trucks loaded with Iraqi oil run north
to Turkey, cutting through the Kurdish region. In one
15-minute period, a traveler counted more than 60 trucks
heading up the highway from Mosul to the Turkish border,
part of a traffic that United Nations officials estimate at
1,500 tankers a day. This traffic runs in defiance of
United Nations sanctions that place all Iraqi oil sales
under United Nations supervision, with the revenues to be
spent on things like food, medicines and reparations to
Kuwait.

For Mr. Hussein, the illicit oil yields huge sums - as much
as $2 billion a year, by some estimates. The money sustains
the pampered lifestyle of the Baghdad elite, and Western
intelligence agencies believe that it also pays for some of
Mr. Hussein's weapons programs.

But the oil traffic is no less a bonanza for the Kurds, who
receive an Iraqi toll on every truck. Before Baghdad cut
its oil production sharply this year as part of the dispute
over the United Nations sanctions, the tolls brought Kurds
as much as $1 million a day.

Some Kurdish officials believe it has suited Mr. Hussein to
help the Kurdish territories survive. He has enough
problems, they say, without having to govern the restive
Kurds because he needs to concentrate on his power base -
the Kirkuk oil fields just south of the Kurdish territory,
the Iraqi heartland around Baghdad, and the rich oil fields
of the south, around Basra. "He gave a part to save the
whole," Mr. Abdurrahman said. "But if he'd foreseen how
successful we've been, he wouldn't have done it."

Now, Kurds say, with almost two-thirds of the Kurdish
population under the age of 25 and increasingly accustomed
to their freedoms, any Iraqi government would have trouble
curtailing them.

But sheltered as they are from Mr. Hussein, the Kurds
seldom criticize him openly, wary that he might one day
return. Although Mr. Hussein is loathed, said Mr. Salih, of
the Patriotic Union, "he remains our constant shadow."

"When we turn around, he is always there," he said. "The
last thing we want to do is to provoke him, and invite
another onslaught against our people."

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/07/28/international/middleeast/28KURD.html?ex=1028885418&ei=1&en=bc4df63ee0ae39ba



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