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>From http://www.middleeastwire.com:8080/storypage.jsp?id=16953

Iraq: Invasion Of Kuwait 12 Years Ago Ignited Continuing Crisis
Publisher: Radio Free Europe � Radio Liberty (RFE/RL)
By: Charles Recknagel
Posted: 2002-08-02

Prague - Twelve years ago tomorrow, Iraqi forces invaded and occupied Kuwait. The 
attack set off a crisis
that, despite Iraqi troops being forced out six months later, continues to this day. 
As RFE/RL reports, the
invasion of Kuwait convinced Washington that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein is a 
threat to both the region
and to the West -- and that this threat only grows greater with time.

Just before dawn on 2 August 1990, an army of some 100,000 Iraqi troops supported by 
tanks stormed into
Kuwait and seized the country in just five hours.

The capture of the oil-rich emirate was immediately proclaimed by Baghdad as "The 
Revolution of 2 August"
and as Kuwait's rightful return to Iraqi sovereignty. Amid scattered resistance by the 
Kuwaiti Army, Iraqi
troops encircled the capital of Kuwait City and abducted several members of the ruling 
Sabah family. The rest
of the 1,000- member royal family fled, with the emir speeding across the Saudi border 
in a limousine minutes
before Iraqi troops reached his palace.

But if the Iraqi state press presented the seizure of Kuwait as a revolutionary 
eviction of a royal family that
had been illegally occupying Iraqi land, the rest of the world saw the events as 
simple aggression by a large
state against a small one. The international community rejected Baghdad's argument 
that Kuwait was
historically part of Iraq and demanded that the Iraqi Army withdraw immediately.

Baghdad refused, even after being slapped with United Nations economic sanctions, and 
instead formally
annexed the oil-rich emirate as one of its provinces. At the same time, Iraqi security 
forces cracked down on
anything that looked like Kuwaiti resistance, arresting thousands of people and 
interrogating many under
torture.

The occupation ended some six months later, when a U.S.-led international coalition 
drove Iraqi troops back
across the border. The coalition included Western states and many of Iraq's neighbors, 
including Saudi
Arabia, Syria, Turkey, and Persian Gulf states.

The start of the coalition's military operation was announced on 17 January by 
then-U.S. President George
Bush in a televised announcement to the American people. "Just two hours ago, allied 
air forces began
attacking military targets in Iraq and Kuwait. These attacks continue as I speak. 
Ground forces are not
engaged. This conflict started 2 August when the dictator of Iraq invaded a small and 
helpless neighbor.
Kuwait, a member of the Arab League and a member of the United Nations, was crushed, 
its people
brutalized. Five months ago, Saddam Hussein started this cruel war against Kuwait. 
Tonight, the battle has
been joined," Bush said.

But if the Gulf War was successful in driving Iraqi forces out of Kuwait, the 
international crisis that Baghdad's
occupation of the emirate sparked remains unresolved. The occupation convinced 
Washington that Saddam is
a menace to both the region and to the West. Twelve years later, many U.S. officials 
believe this threat still
exists and is growing greater.

Today, the threat from Iraq is seen not as territorial ambitions but in terms of 
Western accusations that
Baghdad is developing weapons of mass destruction. Attempts by the international 
community to force Iraq
through more than a decade of UN sanctions to give up its reported weapons programs 
are seen largely to
have failed. Iraq denies it is pursuing weapons of mass destruction.

Under UN resolutions, the sanctions regime can be lifted only after arms monitors 
confirm Iraq has no more
weapons of mass destruction with which to threaten its neighbors. But for the past 3 
1/2 years, Baghdad has
refused to let these monitors return to the country. The inspectors left Iraq in late 
1998, shortly before U.S.
and British air strikes designed to punish Baghdad for not fully cooperating on the 
inspections.

Washington says it is particularly concerned that Iraq could one day furnish weapons 
of mass destruction to
international terrorist groups to attack Western targets. U.S. President George W. 
Bush has said that, "it's
the stated policy of [the U.S.] government to have a regime change" in Baghdad, and 
there have been
widespread media reports on purported U.S. military plans to topple Saddam. U.S. 
officials, however, have
said no attack is imminent and that "all options," including political ones, remain 
under consideration.

Analysts say the Bush administration is convinced the Iraq crisis can only be ended 
with Saddam's removal
from power, and that this should be done sooner rather than later.

Charles Duelfer was the deputy chairman of UN weapons inspectors in Iraq from 1993 to 
2000 and now
works at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C. He put 
the U.S.
administration's view this way in a recent interview with RFE/RL's Iraqi Service. "The 
president [Bush], I
believe, we should take him at his word that he is committed [to the belief] that the 
growing threat posed by
this government in Baghdad, in combination with the increasing leverage that it will 
have, not just with
weapons of mass destruction but also with 4 [million] or 5 million barrels of oil a 
day and the continued
oppression, in essence, of the Iraqi people, is not acceptable," Duelfer said, adding: 
"What we have seen
over the past 10 years is that just simply trying to contain this regime is not 
working, and in the long run the
regime will acquire more leverage. A key way of encapsulating that threat and that 
problem is by saying:
'Look, he may have biological agents now. He may have chemical agents now. He does not 
yet have nuclear
weapons. But when he does get a nuclear capability, everything will change.'"

The U.S. is now seeking regional support for what many observers believe could be a 
second round of the
1991 Gulf War. In recent months, top U.S. officials have toured the region in what is 
seen as an effort to
press the administration's case for a regime change in Iraq and to explore the use of 
bases in various
countries for U.S. military operations.

As Kuwait marks the 12th anniversary of the invasion this week, officials there have 
moved repeatedly to
quell rumors that the emirate could be a staging area for a U.S.-led attack. Local 
rumors have included
reports that both Iraq and the United States are massing troops along the 
Iraqi-Kuwaiti border for an
imminent confrontation.

Kuwait's acting Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad said earlier this week that, "there are no 
suspicious or banned
massing of Iraqi troops on the border," and that, "there is no abnormal massing of 
[U.S.] troops or
exaggerated deployments." He also said the U.S. has not asked to boost its military 
presence in Kuwait.

Iraq's neighboring states, including Kuwait, have said publicly that they do not favor 
a new military campaign
against Baghdad and have called for Iraq to readmit arms inspectors to solve the 
crisis peacefully.

Several European leaders also have expressed reservations about any new war against 
Iraq. French
President Jacques Chirac and German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder said this week that 
an attack would be
justified only if a mandate for it is approved by the UN Security Council.

But Chirac also warned Saddam that time could be running out if he continues to refuse 
to accept the
readmission of UN weapons inspectors. "I think [Saddam] would do well to understand 
how necessary it is for
his country to quickly agree with the secretary-general of the United Nations," Chirac 
said.

� 2002 [Radio Free Europe � Radio Liberty (RFE/RL)].
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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