-Caveat Lector-

>From http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20020801-061022-7015r

White House Watch: Perle's war fever

By Nicholas M. Horrock
UPI Chief White House Correspondent
>From the Washington Politics & Policy Desk
Published 8/1/2002 9:38 PM

WASHINGTON, Aug. 1 (UPI) -- On this hot Thursday, Washington is swept with war fever. 
From Foggy
Bottom
along the Potomac to Capitol Hill, war is on the lips of the political cognoscenti.

The question, insiders whisper at ominously at dinner to reporters, is not "whether" 
President George W.
Bush will attack Iraq but "when." The attack will come before the election some say, 
as early as September.
They chatter knowledgeably about the rains in the North and the heat in the South, 
"windows" of opportunity
they say "are controlling." The time to strike is now. The iron is hot.

Can the president start a war by himself, the naive ask, without Congress or a vote or 
anything? They wave
away that question. Bush is up for the job, they say, having made his bones in 
ordering the invasion of
Afghanistan. This is a worldwide war on terrorism it's got different rules than all 
those old 20th Century wars.

If you are a journalist and no one has leaked you a detailed Bush administration plan 
to depose Saddam
Hussein, you're out of the loop.

The plans and counterplans are on the front pages of every day's newspaper and 
dominate the endless
political talk shows. One anxious reader sent an e-mail to one of my colleagues after 
he wrote a story from
secret sources detailing a plan to invade Iraq with 250,000 troops, which that story 
said, had been written
by Gen. Tommy Franks and was waiting for Bush's go ahead. Was it wise to publicize 
Army plans, this reader
asked, before the war? Wouldn't that warn Saddam and cost American lives?

If any of these plans have a grain of truth in them, Saddam must by now know every 
single military tactic
we've got. Interestingly enough, President Bush, one of the most obsessive presidents 
about secrecy in
recent memory, has not complained about these leaks.

The senators got so anxious about all the war talk this week, they held a hearing, but 
no administration
official testified.

After the 250,000 man big invasion force plan was leaked, several of the Arab states 
around Iraq including
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Jordan publicly or privately sent word to Washington: there 
is no way you are going
to attack Iraq, a Muslim nation, from bases on our soil. King Abdullah of Jordan 
reportedly called it
"ridiculous."

This week, only weeks after the 250,000-man invasion force plan was in the news, 
unnamed "senior
administration and Pentagon officials," leaked a new plan to The New York Times, 
called imaginatively the
"inside out attack."

The descriptions of this plan is a little vague, even in the Times story, but 
basically it appears that Americans
would swoop down and capture someplace in the middle of Iraq, neutralize Saddam 
Hussein's weapons of
mass destruction (it sounds very easy in the Times account), and then attack outward 
and conquer the
country.

The nice part of this plan, the leakers told the Times was that it didn't require 
bases on the soil of all those
reluctant Arab countries and it would take only about 80,000 troops to carry out. It 
would "decapitate"
Hussein's command system and mid-level Iraqi commanders haven't been allowed to 
develop the initiative to
take over and fight the invader.

That is, by the way, what military planners used to say about North Vietnamese Army, 
but the soldiers in the
field found out that mid-level NVA commanders were dammed good.

UPI Terrorism Correspondent Richard Sale reports this new plan was devised by Richard 
Perle, a former
defense official in the Reagan administration and Douglas Feith, a longtime colleague 
of Perle's who is a
planning official at Defense. They are backed by Paul Wolfowitz, deputy assistant 
secretary of defense and
Vice President Dick Cheney, Sale reports.

According to the Washington Post, the Perle-Feith plan is locked in an internal debate 
over when and how to
unseat Hussein with Secretary of State Colin Powell, the Joint Chief's of Staff and 
most of the uniformed
military.

For the American reader, choosing between these plans, being, as they are, sort of 
unofficial and leaked,
may be difficult. It might be worth noting that Perle, Feith, Wolfowitz and Cheney 
never served in the United
States Armed Forces. Perle, Wolfowitz and Cheney were all eligible to serve in 
Vietnam. Cheney once told a
reporter in 1989 that he had "other priorities in the 60s than military service" and 
he was deferred as a
husband and later as a father.

Powell, the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Gen. Franks are decorated American military men.

Though he didn't go to Vietnam, Perle is an accomplished Washington operator and the 
Washington war fever
has the earmarks of the Reagan administration. When war lovers in the Reagan crowd 
were out to get
Libyan strongman Moammar Gadhafi, the same pattern of leaks and backgrounders was 
produced and same
number of anonymous sources were quoted. At the same, the Reagan pollsters were trying 
to find out if the
American people would stand for an unprovoked attack against Libya. In the end, the 
Libyans provoked the
United States and an American aircraft destroyed a Libyan naval vessel. Gadhafi 
retaliated by ordering a
terrorist attack on a disco in German where an American serviceman died. Reagan 
ordered a bombing raid
and Gadhafi's adopted daughter died.

President Bush, who has called for Hussein's ouster from power, said only Thursday 
that he had made no
decision about an attack. He said he is a "patient man." This weekend, he will be with 
his father in
Kennebunkport, Maine at the family compound.

His father, a decorated combat pilot in World War II, is also a patient and careful 
man. He relied on the
United State's professional military and diplomacy to put together a coalition force 
of a half a million soldiers,
sailors and airmen. They conducted a long air bombardment and short ground attack and 
pushed Iraq out
Kuwait with minimum loss of life among the allies. The Saddam Hussein that the United 
States fought then,
though recently weary from a war with Iran, was certainly a match for the Saddam today.

Perhaps President Bush's father will weigh in with his plan.

Copyright � 2002 United Press International

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