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Guide to How Not to Alter the World

November 27, 2002
By RICHARD BERNSTEIN






The subtitle of Margaret MacMillan's rich new history of
the negotiations that followed World War I - "Six Months
That Changed the World," referring to the Versailles Peace
Conference - may represent one of the more overused phrases
in historical writing, but in the case of her illuminating
and engrossing "Paris 1919," it is unarguably justifiable.
The six-month session in Paris that took place between
January and June 1919 and involved representatives of 29
countries drew many of the boundaries of Africa, the Middle
East and the Balkans that exist to this day, recreated
Poland, set the terms by which the major powers would
attempt to live with one another and forged the model for
the future United Nations, among many other things.

But while the conference changed the world, events were to
prove in spectacularly disastrous fashion 20 years later
that it did not achieve its main objective, which was to
design an international structure that would keep the
peace. This by no means reduces the value of Ms.
MacMillan's re-creation of the debates and decisions made
at Versailles. As the former diplomat Richard Holbrooke
puts it in a brief forward to Ms. MacMillan's volume,
historical failures are often more instructive than
successes because "they illuminate paths and pitfalls to be
avoided."

In Ms. MacMillan's view of things, the pitfalls included
carving up non-European territories in ways that would
prove unstable years later, cutting large German
populations out of Germany and in the case of President
Woodrow Wilson, in particular, believing that a better
world would come about through moral order rather than,
say, a re-established balance of power. And still Ms.
MacMillan's vision of the actors in the complex Versailles
drama is more charitable than censorious. Her assessment
does not include the common notion that the greatest
failure of the conference was that it imposed an unjust and
Carthaginian peace on Germany and thereby inevitably gave
rise to World War II.

"Hitler did not wage war because of the Treaty of
Versailles," Ms. MacMillan writes in her concluding
chapter. Even if Germany had retained everything that was
taken from it at Versailles, he would have wanted more:
"the destruction of Poland, control of Czechoslovakia,
above all the conquest of the Soviet Union" as well of
course as the annihilation of the Jews.

Ms. MacMillan's approach to history is to get under the
skin of the figures, to see them not so much as good or
evil but as all-too-human actors struggling with a task of
monumental difficulty even as they represented varying and
conflicting national interests. France, for example, whose
wishes at Versailles, had they all been granted, would have
imposed a much harsher peace on Germany than either the
British prime minister, David Lloyd George, or Wilson were
willing to accept, was operating out of two devastating
wars with Germany, the one just concluded and the defeat in
the Franco-Prussian War of 1870-71 (when, as Ms. MacMillan
points out, French reparations paid to Germany were greater
than those Germany actually paid to France after World War
I).

"They had not suffered what France had," Ms. MacMillan
explains of Wilson and Lloyd George. Nor, it might be
added, did Wilson or Lloyd George have to worry, as the
French did, of being a second-rate power next to a Germany
that would always be bigger and more populous. That was
why, for example, the French at first opposed creating
mandates over the former colonial territories of Germany
and Turkey, the two biggest defeated powers. They preferred
to have colonial control to give them assured access to
native men available for recruitment into French armies.

A similar worry led France to demand that the German border
be placed at the Rhine, thus making the Rhineland either a
separate country, or, preferably, a part of France, and
that led the men at Versailles into their worst deadlock.
The British foreign secretary, Alfred Balfour, understood
the French situation perfectly but felt they were blind to
the proper solution: not paring the Rhineland away from
Germany but creating a strong international system embodied
in a working League of Nations capable of standing up to a
resurgent Germany.

Otherwise, he told Lloyd George, "no manipulation of the
Rhine frontier is going to make France anything more than a
second-rate Power, trembling at the nod of its great
neighbors on the East, and depending from day to day on the
changes and chances of a shifting diplomacy and uncertain
alliances."

Given the weakness of the League of Nations and the failure
of Britain and France to stop German rearmament in the
1930's, that turned out to be a remarkably accurate
prediction.

In the end the French prime minister, Georges Clemenceau,
accepted that the Rhineland would remain part of Germany in
exchange for a temporary occupation of the German territory
east of the Rhine and a promise from Britain and the United
States to come to French aid if Germany ever attacked
again. Clemenceau was bitterly reviled for that concession.
President Raymond Poincar� of France, after one argument
with his prime minister, confided to his diary that
Clemenceau was "scatterbrained, violent, conceited,
bullying, sneering, dreadfully superficial, deaf physically
and intellectually, incapable of reasoning, reflecting, of
following a discussion."

In Ms. MacMillan's view, however, Clemenceau actually got
more at Versailles than the Allies had been prepared to
give him. In a prophetic statement of his own, he told the
French Parliament in 1919, "The treaty, with all its
complex clauses, will only be worth what you are worth; it
will be what you make it."

Among the many strengths of this work is its completeness.
Ms. MacMillan, a historian at the University of Toronto and
herself the great-granddaughter of Lloyd George, provides a
lucid primer on many of the less widely understood (at
least in the United States) parts of the picture. She
recounts the formation of Yugoslavia and shows how
decisions made at Versailles planted the seeds of later
conflict. She covers the carving up of Africa, the
concessions made to Japanese imperialism in China, the
disposition of the former Ottoman Empire and the formation
of the Arab states, including that ramshackle assembly of
incompatible parts that is the current Iraq.

In other words, in Paris in 1919 the world did change. Ms.
MacMillan's honest, dispassionate and thoroughly engaging
book explains why, and how much we continue to live with
the changes brought about then.

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/11/27/books/review/27BERN.html?ex=1039395109&ei=1&en=6fccd82e0b0c3168



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