On 28/02/2020 22:09, Peter Fairbrother wrote:
Best data I have seen for COVID-19 mortality is from 50 in 10,000 or
0.5% for the young-and-fit to 1,500 in 10,000 or 15% for those over 75
and those with pre-existing heart disease. Diabetes and COPD are also
bad co-morbidities to have, at about 10% mortality.
COVID-19 seems to kill mostly the elderly, but not nearly as exclusively
as 'flu. The young-and-fit are also very much at risk.
This would give an overall mortality rate of about 150-200 per 10,000 or
1.5%-2%. With an estimated 65% of the US population catching COVID-19
that would be 4 million US deaths: much worse than AIDS, and potentially
the worst pandemic since the Plague.
Peter Fairbrother
