At 06:25 AM 7/4/00 -0400, Tom Vogt wrote:
>David Honig wrote:
>> >I guess the hard part will be
>> >convincing customers to buy new hardware so they can do less with it.
>>
>> Or simply release only in those media. The benefits of owning/conspiring
>> with the distribution channels.
>it would have considerable starting problems. not many people are so
>sold on their favorite band that they'd buy a whole new home music
>system to listen to their latest album.
True, but the huge content + channel entities 0wn very large percentages
of the pop content. If a secure player is e.g., dumped on the market
at cost (give away razors, sell the blades..) and 80% of new stuff
is only available on the secure player, Buffy Q. Teenager might be
0wned in a few years too. Or limited to trading (digitized) analog.
(Which as Tim points out isn't so bad.)
>most likely, for the first
>copies, piracy would run rampant,
We're assuming a secure player. Only analog dupes
would be possible.
>it's more likely that some real or bogus advantages (see DVD above) are
>added, and the restrictions are not used to the full extend until the
>format has entered the mainstream.
Hmmm, sounds like the SDMI 'upgrade' plans...
>of course, that requires a major conspiracy. I doubt it is doable.
Optimist.
>if it
>were, they had done it for DVD.
They were infinately more naif when they designed DVD.
Now, every week there's a story about a cloned ebook, or a playstation
game, yet another napster, or amazing new video codec. They must be panicking
about now.
A cornered dinosaur can try some drastic things.
"Turn in a gun, get a DivX player!"