Sue O'Mahony wrote:
> Something similar has been done before:
> http://markreckons.blogspot.com/2009/05/has-our-electoral-system-contributed-to.html
> Perhaps useful for cross checking results?

Sadly he has used the incorrect starting point that majority is the same 
as "safety", when it's clearly not as I explain below; he also seems to 
think there are 647 MPs when there are 646 (645 currently in fact), and 
I'm not even going into the selection bias. :) Some of the comments on 
http://markreckons.blogspot.com/2009/05/mps-expenses-and-safe-seats-correlation.html
 
point things like this out. Ah, statistics, such a tricky field...

ATB,
Matthew

> ----- Original Message ----
> From: Matthew Somerville <[email protected]>
> To: "mySociety public, general purpose discussion list" 
> <[email protected]>
> Sent: Thursday, 3 September, 2009 9:10:18
> Subject: Re: [mySociety:public] Constituency majority data?
> 
> Juliet Samuel wrote:
>> I was wondering if the following lists of data are downloadable in .csv 
>> format from mysociety:
> 
> They're available from the API at http://www.theyworkforyou.com/api/ - 
> not in CSV format, but it would be easy to convert the output.
> 
>> A list of mps, constituencies and the majority of each (so that one 
>> could sort by how safe a seat is)
> 
> Absolute majority isn't a good measure of seat safety - it depends how 
> many votes were cast as well (a majority of 100 with 150 votes cast is 
> much safer than a majority of 100 with 15,000 votes cast). The ranking 
> we give on the site is based on the percentage swing to lose the seat.
> 
>> A list of MPs and how much the total they claimed on expenses or their 
>> ranking on this compared to all others MPs.
> 
> Yes, all this is available. You need to call getMPs to get a list of 
> current person IDs, then use that to call getMPsInfo, with fields like 
> the following: majority_in_seat, swing_to_lose_seat_today, 
> swing_to_lose_seat_today_rank, expenses2008_total, and 
> expenses2008_total_rank.

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