Hi everybody,

As usual, there are many differing predictions on whether or not SVM's will
work better than other algorithms.  I hate speculating without data, so
I've put together a simple experiment involving predicting webserver
fetch times for 30 different RFC's of varying lengths.  You can see
the details at

http://homepages.cwi.nl/~cilibrar/ngrouting/

I invite you all to play around with these programs, particularly trying to
tweak the decaying averaging parameters to get better results, or even
rerun the whole experiment with data samples from your location.  My
interpretation is that SVM's outperform two different obvious "binned"
decaying average techniques considerably, by 40% or more.  I think 
these results suggest that the SVM approach may actually be very much more
powerful than what is currently in use.  I can't wait to integrate this
prediction system into the Freenet code proper, as I suspect it will
increase overall throughput measurably.

Cheers,

Rudi

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