On Wednesday, 8 October 2014 at 07:40:14 UTC, eles wrote:
Of course it does not increase the probability to get a "tails". Actually, it increases the probability that you'll get "heads" again.
Er, no, unless you assume that repeated flips of the coin in some way deform it so as to bias the outcome.
An extended run of heads might lead you to conclude that the coin is biased, and so increase your _expectation_ that the next flip will also result in a head, but that doesn't alter the actual underlying probability.
