On Saturday, 9 January 2016 at 04:24:05 UTC, Joakim wrote:
How is it "political?" My prediction is entirely geared around hardware and software realities.

No, businesses don't want P2P, client-server is the ultimate dongle...

_are_ very useful. Having an online map with my GPS location with me at all times, supplemented with photos and other info about all the local restaurants and stores nearby is a killer app. Perhaps you have not tried Google Maps, but it is really worth the price of a smartphone, not to mention the camera and all the other stuff you get.

Feature phones have camera, video, facebookapp, opera mini, bluetooth, p2p filesharing over bluetooth...

Yes, maps are nice, but I only need it once every 2 months, so what I do is print one out. I grew up in Oslo, so I know the areas. In fact tourists frequently ask for direction still and norwegians too, whether they have flat battery or not. It is easier to do planning on a big paper map too. Google map lacks accuracy, paths, roadblocks/snow coditions...

As a world travelling tourist you dont want to show that you have money, it makes you a target for muggers. Americans often make this mistake and paint themselves as easy targets. Showing off an iphone is a mistake...

Feature phones will die when smartphones become small/robust/long battery life.

That is not true for the web. I was underimpressed with the web when it was introduced. Today I am impressed. It is dominating the desktop severely.

What changed?

Webapps are displacing desktop apps.

is in such a small device. :) Maybe you don't get around much, but having a mobile assistant with you at all times is great, particularly when visiting new areas or cities.

Well, only in Oslo, but I know this city... And people are helpful if you ask.

Heh, I think micropayments will be the killer business model for p2p. :) I wonder if it can ever really be done for the web, considering all the security issues in the web stack. That's another place where the complexity of the web stack kills it, all the security holes that pop up.

The problem is getting people to sign up for it.

Has the web fixed all its vulnerabilities? Of course not, so that's hardly a deal-breaker. p2p would be easier to secure.

?

You mention open formats several times, but none of that has anything to do with open source, which was a non-factor in the web browser's rise.

Are you kidding? Mosaic was critical to the raise of the web.

wrong with that in principle, in fact, the web would've likely gone nowhere if Netscape hadn't formed and driven it.

I disagree.

But something like Flash would have been in a stronger position.



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