The major draw of Facebook is ubquity -- everyone you know from high
school, college, maybe even the office has a profile.  Charging for
Facebook would drive away large swaths of users, and I predict that
would have a negative snowballing effect: what's the use if only a
small (and decreasing) portion of the people I know use it?

Compare with Classmates.com -- you have to pay for their useful
features, and hardly anyone I know uses it beyond a curious/casual
initial sign-up.

-Jonathan


On Fri, Oct 10, 2008 at 2:08 PM, mark schraad <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> It's to late for the pay for service model. If that was the direction
> they wanted to go in, it should have been implemented in mid growth
> stage prior to maturity, when the delta was steep. Instead, they were
> betting (I am assuming) on some magic pie-in-the-sky startup
> evaluation that never materialized (well, except for MS). Monetizing
> early caps your potential worth to logical and realistic measures.
> Wouldn't want that in the silicon magic venture valley.
>
> Now that most of the features have been realized and are available for
> free, and the growth delta is decreasing, and people are unlikely to
> pony up. They gambled and they lost that round. That does not mean
> they will walk away with nothing... but it won't likely break any
> records. Timing is critical and bankable fortune telling is rare.
>
> Mark
>
>
>
>
>
> On Fri, Oct 10, 2008 at 1:49 PM, Will Evans <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> I don't disagree with you Andrei - I think some people would value it -
>> between $3 and $12/month. Its currently free - and I see 0 value in (hence
>> my page is so dead), but some - like DaveM, do value it, and might even be
>> willing to pay for the privilege of being super-poked.
>>
>> On Fri, Oct 10, 2008 at 1:43 PM, Andrei Herasimchuk <
>> [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>
>>> On Oct 9, 2008, at 5:27 PM, Jared Spool wrote:
>>>
>>>  What I've been praying for, to learn what Facebook's business plan is,
>>>> will be finally answered!
>>>> In 3 years, once Mark Zuckerberg figures it out.
>>>>
>>>> http://is.gd/3MSY
>>>>
>>>
>>> So... I have to wonder out loud: Why not just charge $9/month for a
>>> Facebook account? I know that's so 1992 with an that oh-so-dated America
>>> Online model, but hey...  At some point, we'll all finally get past the
>>> silly notion that stuff should always be free. Advertising can only support
>>> so many businesses in this space.
>>>
>>> Sure, they'd piss people off (too bad, I say) and lose a bunch in the
>>> process. But if they retained only 25% of a user base of around 50M that are
>>> willing to pay $9/month or $99/year, that's 12.5M users, and a yearly
>>> revenue of something like $1.2B a year. The question is more would they be
>>> able to keep 10M to 12M people paying $9 a month, I think.
>>>
>>> Blizzard has around that for World of Warcraft paying $15 a month, and it's
>>> just a game. I think Facebook would be able to pull it off.
>>>
>>> If Facebook or Google started charging for accounts (Google then gets money
>>> for its applications like Docs, Spreadsheets and such), it would open the
>>> door for everyone in the software business to get back to having real
>>> business models that aren't built out of straw during a fire season waiting
>>> for it all to go up in smoke at a moment's notice.
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