its not very straightforward. The first TP will be when the opposition cant ignore you. With MS this will be when they significantly drop their business prices. IMO they aren't bothered about piracy for home use - keeps the workers tied to MS products and keeps the TCO argument in their favour.
the main TP will be when business users don't give the money to MS. Thats a much harder battle, particularly when the business price has come down and the TCO/training issues is tilted towards MS because business users take software home 'for free' .
Also Where I work MS have a home software initiative and I could buy a licensed copy of MS office for �18 ( but it doenst run on gentoo linux ;-)
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