I think paying attention to Netscape 6 now is a kind of future proofing, the
market share is very low now but I believe it will grow.
There are a few reason why, for one Netscape 6 was relased prematurely. For
marketing reasons I guess, who knows, everyone who's been using Mozilla knew
it wasn't ready, so there's no real suprises that it's buggy as hell. So far
it's been snubbed by developers, reviewers, and users. However, the Mozilla
project have a more reasonable release schedule for shipping a bug free
browser, possible by Q3 2001. I think if Netscape have any sense, they'll
re-release NS6 at this stage with a much larger marketing push. And if
parent company AOL are happy with the browser I'd expect they will start
pushing it to all their users as well. That's where I believe the
significant market share will come from.
On the fringe, I think Mozilla, and Mozilla embeded applications will
probably become the standard on Linux/Unix platforms, not a huge market, but
significant.
There is definetly potential for Netscape's market share to grow
substantially later this year. I wouldn't write it off just yet, but then
maybe I'm just smokin' crack ;-)
Cameron.
> Thought I would share some statistics with you all. I recently
> did a study
> on browser penetration trends. Primarily concerned with NS6 market
> acceptance.
>
> In Novemeber (this is still beta) NS6 accounted for .001593 (less then
> 2/10th a %)
> In December (release of 6.0) NS accounted for .0030759 (~3/10th a %)
> In January (after spending $15+ million in marketing) NS accounted for
> .002686 (less then 3/10th a %)
>
> These figures are extrapolated from a base of data provided by multiple
> sources, including; PC Data, Gartner Group, IDC and TheCounter.com. I'll
> leave it to you all to draw your own conclusions.
>
> Laters,
>
> Ray
>
> PS Personally I think a rather large "rock" has fallen on Netscape/AOL and
> unless some tremendous "event" occurs we are giving as much attention to
> correcting for NS6 as Opera and about 3 other no name browsers have for
> market share. Makes you ponder...
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