OK, here it is:





        "When will it be useful for large retailers
        to accept e-gold?"





Comments: the meaning here is conventional bricks and mortar 
retailers; large retailers means chains (Walmart, specific 
supermarket chains, specific department store chains ... analysts 
will wish to choose their own examples, or may have another 
viewpoint).  'accept' e-gold would mean presumably using a POS device.

A line of enquiry could proceed like this: retailer R has a number of 
different customers N spending S (all of those quantities being 
difficult to know); of the set of humans N a percentage P (currently 
trivial, presumably) use e-gold; that percentage is presumably (?) 
rising.  'useful' may (or may not) mean that that pecentage P reaches 
some critical size (perhaps an arbitrary size - 5 or 10% say - or a 
size found in comparison to historical precedents for new payment 
systems).

As always the contest is absolutely free-form and proceeds in the 
nature of scientific enquiry. . .all premises, methods, theories are 
yours to decide (you may completely reject the approach mentioned in 
the paragraph above, or have another more-clever approach to the 
problem).  A startling single sentence of insight may easily win, or, 
a careful collection of as-is relevant facts may win; a entry may win 
purely for style and presentation or it may win only for content. 
Entries may be a simple text email, papers, feature-length movies, 
talks, a/v presentations, or of any format or concept at all.



The prize for this contest is FOUR (4) grams of gold, and yes, the 
prize is doubling every time.




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