Dear Cheryl Heinz and Forum:

The subject subhead is intended to be only a bit humorous.

I respect mathematics, but I don't overrate it.  What I am waiting 
for is an equation or a computer program that can stand up to proof 
and predict--describe the phenomenon in terms of principles--Laws, if 
you will.  I have to have that in order to respect the 
mathematicians' claims of omnipotence.

But bean-counters are, of course, in the driver's seat.  They (a 
fraction of self-proclaimed mathematicians) have taken over 
ecology.  This fraction likes to bully so-called non-mathematicians 
with disdainful sneers about the "non-mathematical" approaches to 
what they have gotten away with calling, without proof, 
"non-science," including ecology.  These number-bullies don't like 
inference, chaos, and the like.  To be "science," they say, it must 
be reduced to numbers, to (endless, irrelevant) decimal 
points.  "Bionumerologists," one old-fashioned botanist once called 
them.  One smells a bit of put-down as a means of feeling bigger.

Biology and ecology do require disciplined thinking, and certainly 
math is a necessary and useful tool in making sense out of 
observations, but the reductive nature of mathematics is impotent 
when it comes to getting a handle on such a squishy subject as 
ecology.  The fact that it is so frustrating to study ecology, so 
endless and without firm conclusions, does not mean that the human 
need to conquer all will necessarily be satisfied.  As my wife says, 
"Nature bats last."  Unraveling ecology, if that is ever "done," will 
require a kind of "metamathematics," an infinitely complex array of 
integrated principles that simply IS--not a construction of any 
single person, even any team or IT (ironic, eh?).

Good luck with your calculus--I hope it will prove me wrong, add more 
light than heat.  But don't be intimidated.  Everything really is 
connected to everything else, and while we should pursue a better and 
better understanding of ecological phenomena, including by using 
mathematics, my forbidden intuition suggests that we will have to go 
beyond math as we now claim to understand it (and certainly far 
beyond reductive statistics) if we want to get beyond cutting ecology 
up into little decimal-pieces and making mere dissertations out of 
them.  But Homo doubly-wise has always preferred self-validated 
fantasy to reality, no?  Except, maybe, those who find sufficient 
satisfaction in the Quest, who demand no ego-salving "certainty," 
those for whom a significant dose of uncertainty is no vice, and for 
whom outliers can be seen as just possibly where the cutting edge may 
lie.  Of course, since burning at the stake is no longer cool, 
certain banishment shall be (has been) their fate.

WT

PS: "Fuzzy logic," gets closer to recognizing the trends and degrees 
that make up ecological phenomena than anything else I've seen in the 
region of math, but even that is limited by the fact that variables 
are infinite--or, well, too numberous to count any way.  Ask your 
colleagues to "solve" for that.  Again, I jest--a little.


At 11:38 AM 7/16/2007, you wrote:
>I'm involved as an ecologist in a project to develop a two-semester
>biocalculus course and textbook. As a biologist, my role is in helping to
>write snippets of the biology and help track down some data sets. (I keep
>trying to explain to my math colleague just how long it's been since I took
>a math course...)
>
>So, I'm asking the community if you have any datasets that you would be
>willing to lend that could be modeled using calculus -- potential topics (on
>the ecology side) include exponential and/or logistic population growth,
>succession, predation -- and much more. On the math side, the topics are
>ordinary differential equations, difference equations, matrix models,
>differential calculus, and more.
>
>Data are only to be used as examples for the course/ text -- we're thinking
>it would be nice to provide some real-world data (along with all the
>faults!) instead of simply generating data sets. (My colleagues in the math
>department -- and the PI for the project -- will likely be the ones to track
>down permissions as needed.)
>
>Tim Comar (in our math dept) is the PI and lead author of the text.
>
>I'd be happy to answer questions to the best of my abilities, and I thank
>anyone who has data to share in advance!
>
>Thanks!
>Cheryl
>--
>Dr. Cheryl A. Heinz
>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Assistant Professor, Biology
>Benedictine University
>(630) 829-6581 phone
>(630) 829-6547 FAX
>http://www.ben.edu/faculty/cheinz/index.htm

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