warm? high? serious? Maybe Bob can post an example of what he considers a fuzzy rule.

Bill Silvert

----- Original Message ----- From: <[email protected]>
To: <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, August 07, 2009 3:53 AM
Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Fuzzy Logic in Ecology


William Silvert wrote:
I missed Wayne's posting since the subject line had nothing to do with fuzzy logic, and although I know that I will raise a chorus of outrage I am changing the subject line.

Quite a few papers on fuzzy logic aplications have been published, many in Ecological Modelling (including a couple of my own). I also have some PowerPoint presentations on my website, http://ciencia.silvert.org, and there are many in related fields such as soil science. I think that one of my first efforts was in niche theory, obviously the "multi-dimensional manifold" that Hutchinson defined must have fuzzy boundaries.

Unfortunately a lot of work in the field seems to consist of lots of mathematics with little biological content. I like to think in terms of fuzzy rules like

IF the weather is warm AND nutrient levels are high THEN there is a serious risk of bottom anoxia

In what way is that fuzzy logic?  The truth value of the statement above,

Pr(Z|X & Y) > Pr(Z|!(X & Y))

is surely 1.  Where is the fuzzy logic element?

I'm confused.

Bob

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Bob O'Hara
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