Hi I just finished reading a BBC article about a model predicting winter weather for the UK. The model is called GloSea4.
The link is: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19584302 I was interested in how they determine the model's confidence in predicting such events. If anybody knows of the model and the statistical procedures involved (I suppose some type of cross validation / jackknife etc.) please let me know. If others are interested I will write up a summary for the board. Best Ling Ling Huang Sacramento City College