I do not know if this link has been on this list before but here it is.
http://dieoff.org/page171.htm
This is about the best discussion of what could happen after oil I have
seen. There are more problems that just not being able to drive two blocks
to the 7-11.
Some quotes:
The additional hundred bushels has been produced from "ghost acres" which
do not exist except in the form of the fertilizers, largely made with
natural gas, and oil for pesticides. When the "ghost acres" provided by oil
and natural gas no longer exist, the agricultural productivity will be
dramatically reduced.
Civilization exists on the crops grown in topsoil which around the world
averages no more than a foot in depth. It is food or famine for the human
race, and humanity has known famine in the past, and knows it now in
places. There are now two trends clearly on collision course: First,
population is growing at the astounding rate of nearly a quarter of a
million a day, and is highly and increasingly dependent on oil and natural
gas for food production. Second, the end of petroleum supplies are clearly
in sight� Gever and associates (1991) have presented an excellent
book-length analysis of the future without oil with special reference to
food, and see large problems ahead.
Don Bowen [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Valley Center, CA Senior Software Engineer
Internet development and software engineering
http://members.cts.com/crash/d/donb
http://www.oldengine.org/members/ihc14
http://www.oldengine.org/members/ferguson/
