Dear Everyone,

I feel singularly stupid.  My filing system has collapsed, if it ever 
was structured.

A few weeks ago, I believe on this list, a quick discussion of Galton's 
regression to the mean popped up.  I downloaded some of Galton's data, 
generated my own, and found some ways to express the effect in ways my 
non-statistian education friends might understand.  Still working on 
that part.

In addition, there was a reference to a wonderful article, which I read, 
and which explained the whole thing in excellent terms and clarity for 
me.  The author is clearly an expert on the subject of detecting change 
in things.  He (I think) even listed people who had fallen into the 
regression toward the mean fallacy, including himself.

Problem:  Now of course I really want that article again, and 
reference.  I cannot find it on my hard drive.  Maybe I didn't download 
it - it was large.  But I can't find the reference to it, either.  Bummer!

Can anyone figure out who and what article I'm referring to, and 
re-point me to it?

Very much obliged to you all,
Jay

-- 
Jay Warner
Principal Scientist
Warner Consulting, Inc.
4444 North Green Bay Road
Racine, WI 53404-1216
USA

Ph:     (262) 634-9100
FAX:    (262) 681-1133
email:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
web:    http://www.a2q.com

The A2Q Method (tm) -- What do you want to improve today?



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