> My own belief is that you *can* use single-shot serum values to
> predict disease risk:  but you have to use group these with a value
> that has areliable distribution: ex. group serum cholesterol by
> subject's bodyweight, which does not vary appreciably among
> individuals.


The amount of people needed to get an accurate group mean is not often
discussed, but I have calculated it to be the following:

Ng= Ni * Sb^2/(Sw^2*N)

     Where,

     Ng=number of days required to estimate group mean
     Ni=number of days required to estimate individual true intake
     Sb=variability between
     Sw=variability within
     N=number of subjects.


usually validation studies will give you the Sw^2/Sb^2 ratio and also
the number of days required to individual mean.  Therefore the above
equation can be used to calculate either: a)amount of subjects needed
for an accurate group mean after a single draw with measurement error 
 or   b)amount of days needed.

I have not come across this in the literature, not sure why.. I guess
people aren't interested in group means, they are more interested in
individuals..
.
.
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