Bruce Weaver <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:<

Not quite the same, but the literature on illusory correlations etc.:

Chapman & Chapman:

Chapman, L. J., & Chapman, J. P. (1967). Genesis of popular but
erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. Journal of Abnormal
Psychology, 72, 193-204.

Chapman, L. J., & Chapman, J. P. (1969). Illusory correlation as an
obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. Journal of
Abnormal Psychology, 74, 271-280.

Jennings & Ward (1965), Jennings, Amabile & Ross (1982) - the latter
reprinted in Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982).
Judgement under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press.

Mean judgements of correlation (from experience, not plots) = 100(1-
root(1-RSquared)) in the Jennings et al. paper.

Thom
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