I was given this problem and and having some difficulty understanding part
of it.

The problem involves a .250 hitter who gets 5 at bats per game and the
question is ( I think) "What is the expected streak of games where the
batter gets a hit?"

So

The probability of not getting a hit at bat is .750.
The probability of no hits at 4 at bats is .750^5 = .237
The probability of at least one hit per game is 1 - .237 = .763

So the longest streak is k where .763^k=1/162

Can anyone explain this last step? Why set it equal to 1/162?

Thanks


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