On Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:16:09 +0800, James Lo
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Suppose that four cards are drawn successively from an ordinary deck
> of 52 cards, with replacement and at random. What is the probability
> of drawing at least one king?
> 
> Answer from the book: 0.274
> 
> My solution and answer:
> 

You seem to have the right notion, keeping in mind that
it is handy to reverse between P  and (1-P).

But: In drawing one card, the probability of a king is 1/13.
Your answer for drawing 4 cards is less than that.  Uh-oh.

Why start with 1/52  instead of 1/13?

[ ... ]

-- 
Rich Ulrich, [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.pitt.edu/~wpilib/index.html
"Taxes are the price we pay for civilization."  Justice Holmes.
.
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