On Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:58:08 -0400, Rich Ulrich <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:

>On Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:16:09 +0800, James Lo
><[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>> Suppose that four cards are drawn successively from an ordinary deck
>> of 52 cards, with replacement and at random. What is the probability
>> of drawing at least one king?
>> 
>> Answer from the book: 0.274
>> 
>> My solution and answer:
>> 
>
>You seem to have the right notion, keeping in mind that
>it is handy to reverse between P  and (1-P).
>
>But: In drawing one card, the probability of a king is 1/13.
>Your answer for drawing 4 cards is less than that.  Uh-oh.
>
>Why start with 1/52  instead of 1/13?
>
>[ ... ]

So, what should be the correct solution to get 0.274 ? I knew that
1/13 is the probability of a kings.


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