First, radios are like government spending, neither are investments; stocks and
bonds are investments. Radios are toys, so we need to examine how much money we
can afford to squander on playthings.
Sorry, I can't predict the future but I can examine the past. In 1998, I
bought a Kenwood TS-870SAT. It set me back $2575. Contrast that to my first K3
purchased ten years later for $2100! I subsequently sold the Kenwood for a
thousand bucks, making my cost of ownership (in constant dollars) $1575.
Amortized over 10 years that came out to 13 bucks a month. Now if the Kenwood
had completely failed after 10 years (it didn't it was flawless, more than I can
say for my Elecrafts) my monthly cost would have skyrocketed to $21/month.
Hardly something to fret about.
Now I have the K3 sitting of the floor with a K3S on the desk. I have no idea
what the K3 is worth, or how much the introduction of the K3S lowered its value
because it doesn't matter, I don't intend to sell it; I've learned to have a
backup. If a K4 comes out in my lifetime and lowers the value of the K3S, so be
it. I'll play with it until then.
Wes N7WS
On 5/5/2019 1:19 PM, Doug Hensley wrote:
Has anyone got a good handle on how much the value of a K3 dropped after the
K3S had established itself ?
If so, what can we expect the average value of a K3S to drop once a K4 has spread
its wings & shared its eggs ? And how much further down in value is that
going to push the venerable old K3?
To me the wishful thinking about a K4 is disconcerting. That much of my investment is
going to go "poof" when a new model suddenly hits the market gives me cause to
wonder if I knew what I was doing in the first place. YMMV but clairvoyant predictions
are welcome 🙂 ....
Doug W5JV
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