[EM] Condorcet and Participation

*Markus Schulze * [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:markus.schulze%40alumni.tu-berlin.de>
/Sun Oct 5 02:48:02 2003/

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Dear participants,

this is Moulin's proof that participation and Condorcet
are incompatible.

Situation 1:

  3 ADBC
  3 ADCB
  4 BCAD
  5 DBCA

Situation 2:

  Suppose candidate B is elected with positive probability
  in situation 1. When we add 6 BDAC voters then candidate B
  must be elected with positive probability according to
  participation and candidate D must be elected with
  certainty according to Condorcet.

Situation 3:

  Suppose candidate C is elected with positive probability
  in situation 1. When we add 8 CBAD voters then candidate C
  must be elected with positive probability according to
  participation and candidate B must be elected with
  certainty according to Condorcet.

Situation 4:

  Suppose candidate D is elected with positive probability
  in situation 1. When we add 4 DABC voters then candidate D
  must be elected with positive probability according to
  participation and candidate A must be elected with
  certainty according to Condorcet.

Situation 5:

  Because of the considerations in Situation 2-4 we get
  to the conclusion that candidate A must be elected with
  certainty in situation 1. When we add 4 CABD voters then
  candidate B and candidate D must be elected each with
  zero probability according to participation.

Situation 6:

  Suppose candidate A is elected with positive probability
  in situation 5. When we add 6 ACBD voters then candidate A
  must be elected with positive probability according to
  participation and candidate C must be elected with
  certainty according to Condorcet.

Situation 7:

  Suppose candidate C is elected with positive probability
  in situation 5. When we add 4 CBAD voters then candidate C
  must be elected with positive probability according to
  participation and candidate B must be elected with
  certainty according to Condorcet.

Markus Schulze


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