Kevin had said:

> Hi, By the way, you can also ensure a method satisfies SFC by having it > comply with this votes-only criterion: "If more than half of the voters > rank > A over B, but there is no majority of the voters ranking some third > candidate over A, then B doesn't win." > >
I replied

> First, does Kevin’s criterion apply only to rank methods? My criteria > apply to all methods.

Kevin replies:

I wrote the above to help clarify the implications of SFC on at least rank ballot methods.

I reply now:

Ok, so you were just offering a pedagogical help for Warren. Warren had offered your definition as a better wording for SFC.

Kevin continues:

I won't get into again how I interpret criteria so that they apply to all methods

I reply:

Yes, it’s probably best that you don’t. Because, last time you did, posted your rough sketch of what sort of criteria system you proposed, and then I asked you for:

1. A precise definition of your proposed criteria system

2. A demonstration that uses that definition to show that Approval and another RV version pass or fail SFC.

And your answer?: ….silence

Your proposed criteria system was a sketch that never took precise form that could be used to show that Approval or RV meet or fail SFC.






When asked why he feels that SFC isn’t about a strategy guarantee, Kevin says:

I've told you why in the past actually. I don't think it is a very *useful* guarantee, since you can't know in advance whether you qualify for it

I reply:

That seems an odd objection, because the whole reason why there can be strategy dilemma, and the reason why we need a better method than Plurality, is because one _doesn’t_ have complete information, doesn’t know what the situation is. Are there criteria with which a voter knows for sure that the criterion’s premise applies in a particular election, and that s/he is one of the voters to whom the criterion makes its guarantee?

Anyway, you do know that, if there is a CW, you prefer that CW to the candidates to whom you prefer the CW. All that’s additionally needed is a majority who prefer the CW to those same candidates. But it’s hardly unusual for the CW to be preferred to other candidates by a majority. So if you prefer the CW to Y, then most likely a majority does too--because that’s the CW.

So I guess you aren’t being entirely clear with us about in what sense you feel that the voter doesn’t know if s/he “qualifies for” SFC’s guarantee.

Note that it isn’t necessary to know who the CW is. Whoever the CW is, no one worse (in your estimation) will win, if (as is typically the case) a majority prefer the CW to him/her. For that, you and the rest of that majority need do nothing other than vote sincerely.

It’s true that you don’t know for sure that falsification won’t occur on a scale sufficient to change the election outcome--but that’s unlikely to happen, for reasons that I went over in a posting within the past week.

Someone could object: “You’re saying that most likely there won’t be enough indifference to keep the CW from having a majority over Y, but if, elsewhere too, there’s no truncation, Pairwise-count methods don’t need SFC.” But the benefit of SFC is for a majority. That isn’t an unreasonable premise stipulation. A group smaller than a majority typically, with any method, can’t really expect to get its way. For instance, if it’s Nader, Hillary Clinton and McCain, and Nader + Clinton don’t have a majority--so McCain has a majority--there’s not a lot that you can expect. The Lesser-of-2-Evils problem is about what has to be done to enforce majority wishes.

And, as I said, for some other candidate Y, there typically is a majority preferring the CW to Y.

Kevin continues:







, and if you did know that you qualify for it, you'd also know that you don't need to use it, since your candidate should win no matter what you do with your lower rankings.


I reply:

Here I must admit that I have no idea what Kevin means. My candidate? SFC isn’t about my candidate or your candidate winning. It’s about some candidate Y _not_ winning, when a majority prefer the CW to him/her and vote sincerely, when no one falsifies (or at least falsification doesn’t occur on a scale sufficient to change the election outcome).

“If you know you qualify for [SFC’s guarantee]…” Does that mean “If you know the CW is preferred by a majority to the candidates whom you like less than the CW…”? If so, then Kevin is mistaken, because even if you know that, there is no guarantee that one of those less-preferred candidates won’t win, if the method doesn’t meet SFC. With non-complying methods, truncation by voters outside that majority can cause one of the less-preferred candidates to win. With IRV, Borda, etc., it doesn’t even require truncation.

Kevin continues:

Well, the way I understand CC and "pairwise count method," MMPO and MDDA are pairwise count methods that satisfy SFC but fail CC.

I reply:

Any kind of method would do. Thank you. If those methods meet SFC and fail CC, that means that it isn’t possible to say with assurance that SFC is stronger than CC. I much prefer SFC’s guarantee to that of CC because CC only gives its guarantee if everyone votes sincerely, whereas with SFC only that beneficiary majority need vote sincerely, and everyone else is only stipulated to not falsify.

Mike Ossipoff


----
election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Reply via email to