At 02:45 PM 6/24/2008, Juho wrote:
On Jun 24, 2008, at 3:10 , Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:
Or if A and B are the strongest candidates then maybe
strategically A=10, B=0, C=0.
In Approval the voter might vote A=1,
B=0, C=0. Or if B and C are the strongest candidates then maybe A=1,
B=1, C=0.
If it were me, I might be buying tickets out of the country. That
is *really* bad. *Sincere normalized rating, unmodified by election
probabilities, is almost zero.*
Voters with utilities like this, if they believe A doesn't have a
prayer, tend to not vote.
Note that the utilities of B and C were 123 and 99. I didn't anchor
the scale in any way but numbers around 100 could still be "above
average politician".
"Above average" among what sample? Certainly not this one!
I think three frontrunners is not a very distant scenario. I also
think spoilers are quite possible in Range and Approval. Some spoiler
scenarios were already mentioned in this thread. You also already
replied to Chris Benham on the McCain-Obama-Clinton example in
another mail (and therefore I'll try to be brief here).
While three frontrunners is certainly possible in theory, it's rare
in a two-party system, it happens in certain ways.
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