On 31.8.2013, at 15.24, Vidar Wahlberg wrote:

> This may be a bit outside what is usually discussed here, but I'll give
> it a shot and if someone know of some resources I should check up on
> then please let me know.
> 
> I've not followed this list for a long time, but my impression is that
> the main focus is on the technical or mathematical properties, and less
> on the sociological issues.
> 
> For instance, when voting for persons then candidates with high
> popularity and charisma are likely to win more votes than less
> charismatic candidates, despite the less charismatic candidates being
> far more suited for the task (more knowledge, experience, talent, etc.).
> In the Norwegian system where we got multiple parties, but two blocks
> (left and right), we also see that some people vote for their second
> preference rather than the first, because the first is in the wrong
> block or intend to cooperate with another party which the voter dislike
> the most.
> 
> If it is within the scope of this list, what are your thoughts on the
> subject?

In my opinion this is very much in scope. And from "technical or mathematical 
properties" point of view, these considerations may well have an impact on what 
kind of techniques one should use.

I'd try to solve the problem of charismatic candidates by offering more 
information about the candidates to the voters, and allowing all candidates 
equal amount of publicity (visual, non-visual, real time, offline, net). What 
more could we do? Voters must anyway find out themselves which candidates are 
really good despite of not so good charisma, and which ones have nice charisma 
but nothing behind the charisma. The system can not make these evaluations for 
them, so we just need to increase the openness and informativeness of the 
system.

Then the problem of people not voting for otherwise good candidates that have 
bad ideas like cooperation with unwanted parties, or who are from the wrong 
bock. I think also here voters should decide how much weight they put on 
different topics. If cooperation and correct wing are important, then that 
candidate really is bad and the voter should not vote for him.

I guess here we come also close to the problem of voters being unable (e.g. in 
traditional list based systems) to give support to some selected set of 
candidates that come from multiple parties, but not to the other candidates of 
those parties. Typically voters can also give their vote to one candidate only, 
and that vote might end up supporting wrong candidates (if the favourite 
candidate will not be elected).

> Alternatively:
> Assuming the perfect election system where voting any different than
> your real preference would only hurt your preference, how would you
> design a form of government that is elected by the people, but is
> resistant to sociological issues that can't be prevented by the election
> method (such as the examples mentioned above)?

I think we would first have to agree what kind of a government is a good 
government. There can be many opinions, and for different kind of political 
systems the choice may be different.

>From a traditional multiparty perspective a good government might be one that 
>represents majority of the voters but not if we want to have an opposiition 
>too. (this is just one option)

Traditionally we want there to be static parties (other options possible too). 
The government would typically consist of multiple parties. A typical approach 
is that voters must choose their party and some preferred candidate(s) within 
that party. (Alternatively voters could indicate support also to good 
candidates from multiple parties.)

Traditionally governments are formed only after the election, which means that 
the voter will not vote for a government coalition but that parties will build 
the coalition by themselves. It is however also quite common that possible 
government coalitions are quite well known and fixed already before the 
election (I guess Norway is closer to this). (It would be possible to have also 
elections where voters will decide what kind of government to form, but I guess 
this approach is not in use anywhere.)

When you wrote about "a form of government that is elected by the people", did 
you mean that voters should have more say on what the government (coalition) 
will be like? I.e. do you dislike both the approach of two fixed alternatives 
and the approach of parties negotiating the coalition structure after the 
election?

Anyway, whether decided by the voters or by the parties (/ elected 
representatives) after the election, a good government coalition might be one 
that has proportional representation of all those parties that will form the 
government.

Within those parties one has different options on how to pick the ministers. 
The ministers could be representatives that got a lots of support from the 
voters. Or alternatively the ministers could be ones that have support from the 
representatives (this approach alloas also nomination of ministers that are not 
representatives themselves). Party internal proportionality would be a good 
approach here. Also regional proportionality should be respected (as well as 
practical).

In order to get all relevant input from the voters, the ballots could be ranked 
ballots (allowing ranking within or also across the parties), or the parties 
could be internally structured so that a vote to one candidate would be 
inherited by some set (smaller than a party) of similar minded candidates. 
Closed lists might be to coarse for what ypu had in mind (?). (Or maybe 
multiple closed lists with different rankings of the same candidates might do.)

Coming back to the problem of charismatic candidates. If the candidates are 
grouped (into parties and further into smaller groupings), votes to charismatic 
candidates could support also less charismatic candidates of the same grouping. 
This would to some extent reduce the problem of electing only/mainly 
charismatic candidates (and beautiful candidates, fluent speakers, good actors 
and candidats with empty promises).

It is also possible that if we allow the parties/groupings to elect their 
ministers among themselves, the really competent candiates could be elected 
more often (instead of the "charismatic only" candidates). Indirect democracy 
may thus serve some of your needs here (since the representatives know each 
others better than the voters too, and can see through their masks / 
charismatic appearances).

If we now study the path of allowing the voters to decide directly what the 
coalition will look like, there are at least two options. One straight forward 
option would be to present different coalitions and programs to them and then 
use some good single-winner method to pick the best alternative out of these.

The other option in my mind is to derive the ideal coalition directly from the 
votes to the individual candidates (or allow voters to rank all the parties). 
This gets quite tricky though. Since all coalitions do not make sense, we 
should probably seek for coalitions that are wide but that have contain a set 
of rather similar minded parties. We could use a CPO style method that compares 
all different possible coalitions and picks one whose all members have wide 
support among all the supporters of the coalition. I will not go deeper into 
these criteria at this post. The idea is just to pick a government that would 
have solid support of all the members. Probably this approach is bit too 
theoretical and may lead to surprise results too easily to be adopted quicly 
into use in real elections.

The width of the coalition is also an interesting question. Maybe it should be 
well above 50%. In Finland the tradition seems to be to have coalitions that 
are wide anough to maintain their majority even if one of the smallest parties 
would leave the government. The coalition should also not be too wide since I 
assumed that we want to have a credible opposition too (with possibility to be 
the main body of the next government). This would leave us maybe below 66.7% or 
below 75% support. (The automatic coalition election algorithm should take also 
the optimality of the width of the coalition into account.)

One option is to only collect voter preference information for the parties / 
representatives to be taken into account when forming the government. Or, if we 
used a single-winner method to rank different coalitions, then each of these 
coalitions could be offered (one by one) the possibility to form the 
government, if they find an agreement among themselves. Or, if we have 
established the preference order of different coalitions, one could allow 
parties to propose coalitions and allow the coalition with highest ranking to 
start the negotiations.

Now I should stop and ask if I'm totally off the track that you planned.

Juho


> 
> 
> -- 
> Regards,
> Vidar Wahlberg
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