Predicting the reliability of mechanical systems is much more complicated than
for electrical systems.  Part of the trouble is that there are often more
uncontrolled variables in mechanical systems.  You may find some information
on mechanical predictions in the electrical reliability sources, but there
won't be much.  In addition to the previously mentioned documents, take a look
at MIL-HDBK-338 and Telcordia SR-332.
 
My best recommendation is to look for information from groups familiar with
mechanical systems.  SAE International (Society of Automotive Engineers) may
have information at their web site.
http://www.sae.org/
Use the "search" box at their web site with terms such as "reliability" or
"mtbf", and then narrow the search with terms specific to your system.  You
might find something helpful.
 
Ted Eckert
The opinions expressed are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of my
employer.

--- On Wed, 10/29/08, Mark Hone <[email protected]> wrote:


        From: Mark Hone <[email protected]>
        Subject: Reliability: MTBFs and Probability of Failure
        To: [email protected]
        Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2008, 4:15 AM
        
        
        Dear All,
        
        I am most embarrassed to say that I can't find in my saved emails or in 
a
        search of the EMC-PSTC archives or in Google search, a reference I 
think I
once
        saw to a Mil Handbook that helps with calculations of MTBFs for 
mechanical
        items.  I'm sure someone has mentioned it in the same breath as Mil Hdbk
        217F.
        
        Can someone help me with a reference, please?!
        
        And any book recommendations on the subject (preferably titled "The
        Idiot's Guide to...")?
        
        For your interest, we're doing some safety assessments (to IEC 61508) 
of a
        new piece of equipment with a view to achieving an appropriate SIL 
rating.
        
        With hopeful regards,
        
        Mark
        
        --
        Mark Hone, HESS Manager
          Wellman Defence Limited   
          Williams Road                      
          Portsmouth, Hampshire      
          PO3 5FP, ENGLAND            
          Tel: +44 (0)23 9266 4911
          Tel: +44 (0)23 9262 9239 (Direct)
          Fax: +44 (0)23 9269 7864
          Mobile: +44 (0)7919 047775
        
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