Nature 407, 932 (2000) © Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 

Global warming identified as main threat to coral reefs

PETER POCKLEY 

[BALI] A report released this week paints a bleak picture of the condition of the 
world's coral reefs. And it
names global warming as the culprit behind much of the damage.

Only two years after a survey of the world's coral reefs found 11% had been destroyed 
before 1998, a
more extensive assessment by 80 countries of their own reefs — most for the first time 
— has raised the
total to 27% "effectively lost" by late 2000.

The latest measurements come from the Global Coral Reef
Monitoring Network, the operational unit of the International Coral
Reef Initiative, and they take account of the massive bleaching of
corals that took place in 1998. The network identified a further
14% of reefs that are at "critical" risk of being lost within 2–10
years, and 18% more as being "threatened" in 10–30 years.

The details were released this week at the ninth International Coral
Reef Symposium in Bali, Indonesia, an island that sits at the centre
of the archipelago harbouring the greatest diversity of coral species.

The coordinator of both surveys, Clive Wilkinson of the Australian
Institute of Marine Science (AIMS), says the agenda up to 1998
had primarily been to curb human impacts on reefs. Damage is now
documented from over-fishing for subsistence and export, from the
live fish trade, from fishing by explosion and poisoning, as well as
from sewage, and excessive sediments and nutrients running off
urban and agricultural development.

Although these influences remain, the new report argues that the main problem has now 
become global
climate change, to which corals are proving acutely sensitive. Terry Done, also of 
AIMS and president of
the conference, joined Wilkinson in stressing the need to curb greenhouse gas 
emissions.

The problems are most severe in the wider Indian Ocean, where there has been 59% loss 
but "reasonable
chances of recovery for remote reefs", according to the report. Next in order are 
reefs in the Middle East
(35% damage and "low chances for short-term recovery"), and Southeast and East Asia 
(34% loss "with
reasonable chances for slow recovery on remote reefs").

The Caribbean/Atlantic reported a loss of 22%, mostly from human impact — but with 
relatively fast
recovery. In contrast, the extensive reefs in the Pacific and off Australia are 
reported as being "in reasonably
good health with a positive outlook unless global climate change events like those of 
1998 strike these
areas".

Wilkinson says it is significant that countries are "no longer in a state of denial 
and are appealing for help", as
exemplified by Indonesian officials at the conference.

http://coral.aoml.noaa.gov/gcrmn/

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