Sounds like the best of all of the explanations thus far.  I think all of us 
can get it now - No Aerobatics!  But, for just plane fun and excitment nothing 
beats a Coupe.  I flew mine down to Hood River Oregon right next to Mt. Saint 
Helens on Friday and it was Breath taking.  Love my Coupe.. Jerry
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: William R. Bayne 
  To: ety Ercoupe 
  Sent: Saturday, March 06, 2010 11:25 PM
  Subject: Re: [ercoupe-tech] Re: NTSB probable cause...


  Ed,

  The ACS (Airworthiness Concern Sheet) from the Sebring crash was discussed in 
great detail on Tech back in September.

  Observers heard the engine winding up as if in a dive. NTSB evidence confirms 
that the top spar cap failed under negative G force, and that the seat with 
occupants was ejected from the airframe. (read the last paragraph through now 
before proceeding further here...and yes, Bob Sanders wore a parachute while 
testing Ercoupes!) A high speed low pass with a sudden pull-up would result in 
positive spar loading. A "pull-up" is, however, consistent with accounts from 
observers on the ground, none of whom mention seeing the seat and occupants 
thrown from the cabin. The eyewitness accounts and the physical evidence do not 
seem to match.

  Speeds in excess of 130 mph require a dive. Considerable forward yoke 
pressure is required and must be maintained. Let us speculate that the sudden 
loss of some 400 lbs. of occupants and forward yoke pressure could cause a 
structurally failed and unoccupied airframe to appear to "zoom", then turning 
and physically disintegrating. The very sight of such a sudden "zoom" would 
likely hold every watcher's absolute attention. 

  Just as the "art" of the magician relies, in no small part, on sufficient 
distraction of the audience that they do not "see" all that goes on before 
them, the departure of the occupants and seat as the flight path transitioned 
from dive to zoom could have gone unobserved. We don't have a diagram of the 
topography, the flight path in three dimensions or where each reporting 
observer stood. Ejection of the occupants would have been unexpected, and no 
observer mentioned seeing it . The human mind tends to dismiss that which our 
eyes "see" if those images are radically unfamiliar.

  Per my (certified) letter to the FAA's Roger Caldwell of 9/23/09, pages 5 & 6 
(and email to Tech of that date):

  On November 8, 1948, Bob Sanders of Sanders Aviation issued "Ercoupe 
TakeOffs" #G3 entitled "Discouraging Aerobatics". This describes instances of 
"wingtip failures" and other structural failures reported in "recent months" 
and that "...wewere not surprised or alarmed since evidence presented strongly 
indicates misuse of the Ercoupes involved." He explains that the 144 mph red 
line "indicates themaximum speed for which the airplane is designed", pointing 
that all airplanes havea similar restriction and that speeds above this "will 
endanger the airplane and occupants inasmuch as excessive speed may induce wing 
flutter or other unpredictable difficulties which will, in some cases, cause 
immediate collapse of the structure". We have all seen reports of difficulties 
of other popular make airplanes caused by pilots exceeding design limitations." 
His last paragraph urges dealers to cooperate "in bringing to the attention of 
all Ercoupe owners and pilots the seriousness of exceeding the air speed red 
line and the inadvisability of doing aerobatics in the airplane since they may 
easily exceed the speed or accelerations which can be safely borne by the 
structure." 

  On December 1, 1948, W. L. Greene, then Chief Engineer of ERCO, wrote the CAA 
Aircraft Components Branch, Airframe & Appliance Engineering Division(1-301) 
following "several airplane accidents involving wing failure in flight". He 
states that "We are of the opinion that the most probable cause...is aileron 
flutter caused by a loose aileron control system. The wreckage of these 
airplanes...all indicated...failure of the main wing spar was caused by a 
negative lift load on the wing tip. This load could be applied in normal flight 
on a smooth day by a substantial twisting of the wing to provide a negative 
angle of attack of the tip. It...appears that a violent distortion of the wing 
took place from some cause. The only obvious cause appears to be wing tip or 
aileron flutter." In test flights investigating wing flutter, and with 9/16" 
looseness in the control system "we obtained a violent wing flutter, or aileron 
flutter, which caused the right aileron tobe torn from the hinge attachments 
and leave the airplane at a speed of about 190 miles an hour...". 

  On April 20, 1950, Norman A. Hubbard, D.E.R. 1-21 for ERCO wrote the 
CAA,Attn.: Chief, Aircraft Division (1-565) relative to flight tests for C.A.A. 
approval of the installation of the Trim-o-matic in Models E and G only. He 
mentions "The recent accident during flight test of the Trim-o-matic 
installation...occurred at about 180 mph calibrated air speed." The next week, 
on April 27, 1950, Bob Sanders of Sanders Aviation issued "Ercoupe Take-Offs" 
#P-7 entitled "TEST FLIGHT--1950 Ercoupe". This described the decision "to dive 
the airplane to the higher speed.required to approve the...installation on 
earlier airplanes, which were not limited against aerobatic maneuvers. In the 
process of this dive, which went to 185 m.p.h., something happened to the 
airplane causing it to nose down sharply, throwing me out of the airplane and 
causing substantial damage to the airplane, which resulted in its 
disintegration. ...initial and unofficial opinion is that the nose ribs of the 
outer panels deflected, initiating the failure. The rapidity with which I was 
thrown out, without any advance warning of failure...impels me to 
again...discourage aerobatics which may encourage unskilled pilots to get into 
speed ranges and attitudes which are dangerous to them and their airplanes." 

  Cordially,

  William R. Bayne
  .____|-(o)-|____.
  (Copyright 2010)

  -- 

  On Mar 6, 2010, at 21:22, Ed Burkhead wrote:



    But what CAUSED negative g-load sufficiently strong to break the spar in a
    negative g manner and eject the seat/pilot/passenger out of the plane?

    I cannot imagine a pilot with the experience and ratings listed doing a
    barrel roll or pushing negative g's close to the ground, over civilization
    (the golf course).

    I could, maybe, understand a high speed low pass with a sudden pull-up.
    I've seen this done perhaps a hundred times at various Coupe flyins. May I
    say CLEARLY that I think this is a BAD IDEA.

    Any plane with slop in its control system can get surprise control surface
    flutter when it encounters an airspeed and load combination that allows a
    resonant vibration to get going. I had that happen to me and am very, very
    glad that I reacted correctly and almost instantly (turned the yoke to load
    the aileron control system and pulled [with moderation] up to slow down).

    I'm not any kind of genius pilot. In retrospect, I think I must have been
    thinking about flutter and been alert for it as I did my power-glide to see
    what 144 mph felt like - only that would explain how I diagnosed the
    vibration and did the right thing so quickly.

    You'd better believe I got my control system tightened up to specifications
    after that and never again tried to power-glide up toward 144 mph!!!!

    The NTSB probable cause report mentions nothing about flutter being involved
    in the accident chain other than repeating the quote from the ATP pilot who
    said he observed both ailerons fluttering. I wish they'd addressed this -
    but, I suspect they just had nothing solid to go on.

    To me, vibration sufficient to shake the rear windows out of the plane,
    knock the inspection hole covers off the plane and shake PAINT CHIPS off the
    plane might, just possibly, be important.

    I'd urge everyone to do the checks necessary to see if your control systems
    are within specs.

    And, please, don't show off by doing a dive down to a high speed pass with
    or without a sudden pull-up at the end.

    JMHO

    Ed Burkhead




      -----Original Message-----
      From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]

      On Behalf Of William R. Bayne
      Sent: Saturday, March 06, 2010 8:14 PM
      To: ety Ercoupe
      Subject: Re: [ercoupe-tech] Re: NTSB probable cause...


      Hi Craig,

      You make an excellent point. They may well have MEANT that
      "cross-sectional strength" was reduced by 10% using "design code"
      practices.

      But what they SAID was that the "cross-sectional AREA of the top spar
      cap" was reduced by 10%! On that basis that I deemed the COMMENT
      "utter nonsense". Professionals should express clear and accurate
      findings in any accident report.

      The NTSB seems to conclude that aerodynamic stresses substantially
      exceeding applicable design criteria preceded the observed catastrophic
      structural failure of subject wing and spar assembly such that even had
      the "extra" hole not been drilled the structure would have likely
      failed in much the same way with unchanged result. If the possible
      reduction in "cross-sectional strength" from this one non-factory hole
      was dwarfed by the structural design load safety factor, no one would
      bother to "do the calculations".

      Regards,

      WRB

      --

      On Mar 6, 2010, at 14:39, craig wrote:


        The 10% figure probably came from design codes. Any hole no matter
        how small and the design codes say that you must at a MINIMUM deduct
        10% of the structural strength of the metal. In any case if you drill
        more holes you would have to do the calculations to determine how much
        tensile strength remains.ie, drill enough holes and you could end up
        with NO tensile strength left.

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