However, you are very lucky that your peak need correlates exactly with your 
peak generation.  In any part of the country where winter heat is required, I 
think Robert's assertions are largely correct.  Our peak needs correspond with 
the season of least generation.  The temperature gap in summer is 20-40 degrees 
(80 degrees to 100-120 degrees).  In winter, the temperature gap can be 70-95 
degrees (70 degrees to 0 - -25).  Yes, I've experienced -25 a number of times.

Add in the chance of cloudy weather, and solar gets very difficult in the 
winter.  We haven't seen the sun here in over a week.

Mike


On January 9, 2015 4:05:18 PM MST, Ben Goren via EV <[email protected]> wrote:
>On Jan 9, 2015, at 2:09 PM, Robert Bruninga via EV <[email protected]>
>wrote:
>
>> But NOT for the typical modern non-FOSSIL FUEL BURNING all electric
>homes
>> with AC and Electric Heat pumps... IE, if a home continues to burn
>fossil
>> fuel for heat, Oil, and Propane, then we have not fully switched to
>> renewables.
>
>You might want to run the numbers.
>
>I live in Arizona which is fantastic for generation...but it also means
>an AC load in the summertime that most can't imagine. We'll go for
>months at a time not only with the daytime high over 100°F (sometimes
>pushing 120°F or more), but with the overnight lows in the 90s,
>sometimes upper 90s. As in, you can step outside at seven in the
>morning and it's already 100°F, or be lounging around at ten at night
>with it still 110°F outside.
>
>I have about a quarter of my quite modest two-bedroom one-bath home's
>roof covered in panels (both PV and hot water) and I generate half
>again as much as I use -- enough to also power a future EV. My generic
>and modest subdivision, which has lots of apartments and thus one of
>the higher densities in the city, could not quite power the whole city
>if every square inch of rooftop was covered with panels. Insane
>summertime AC load and all.
>
>And, yes, again: not going to happen in Manhattan. If you live in
>Minnesota, you might still need gas to survive the winter...but why
>should the perfect be the enemy of the good? Far better to burn (less)
>fossil fuels for three months out of the year than to keep burning the
>same amount year-round....
>
>b&
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