On Mar 17, 2015, at 3:21 PM, Jorg Brown via EV <[email protected]> wrote:

> Fundamentally the problem is economics: in a car you have a $100 tank
> that you're filling up with $50 of fuel.  But in an EV, you have a $40,000
> pack that you're filling up with $5 of fuel.

That's...that's an excellent observation that puts it in a perspective I've 
never thought about before.

And you're right. Battery swaps likely won't make economic sense until traction 
batteries cost as much as today's starter batteries...but, by the time that 
comes to pass we'll have long since solved any recharging problems without 
resorting to battery swaps.

Tesla's robot-swappable batteries would make perfect sense for professional 
racing. Instead of a pit stop to fill with gas, you have a pit stop to swap 
batteries. And, presumably, change tires and whatever else needs to be done.

It likely also makes the mechanic's job much easier. If they've taken similar 
approaches to other major components, they could conceivably use labor with 
minimal technical skills (and, of course, this being Tesla, high-powered people 
skills) in service stations. Something's worng with the car? Get it to the 
official Tesla shop, the mechanic plugs in to read where the problem 
is...undoes some fasteners, positions the magic robot, and a few minutes later 
the forward motor has been replaced with the defective unit sent to the factory 
for overhaul and / or salvage.

But it's difficult to imagine an economically-effectie model for widespread 
adoption of battery swaps, once you realize, as you observed, that you can 
practically buy an entire car for the cost of the battery you're swapping.

b&
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