http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/02/14/3-things-you-need-to-know-before-reserving-teslas.aspx
3 Things You Need to Know Before Reserving Tesla's Model 3 Next Month
Feb 14, 2016  Evan Niu

[image  / TESLA
https://g.foolcdn.com/editorial/images/195678/tsla-showroom_large.jpg
Tsla Showroom  MODEL 3 RESERVATIONS START IN-STORE ON MARCH 31 
]

The Model 3 could very well spark blowout demand from mainstream consumers.
Keep these important considerations in mind.

Next month, Tesla Motors will show off its highly anticipated mass-market
electric car, the Model 3. The unveiling date is set for March 31, and the
company will begin taking in-store reservation payments on that date. Online
reservations will start the following day on April 1. Tesla is reiterating
that everything is currently on schedule for a late 2017 launch, including
the all-important $35,000 starting price tag.

The mass-market affordability of the Model 3 may potentially drive
incredible demand and early reservations, but there are a few things you
should keep in mind if you're planning on putting $1,000 down to get in
line.


Reservation sequence does not matter as much
Tesla won't be fulfilling reservations on a first-come, first-serve basis.
Instead, the company will prioritize "relatively highly optioned versions of
the car," much like it has done with previous vehicle launches. This is done
to recoup the capital investments necessary for the tooling and
manufacturing infrastructure.


Consider the Model X. Even after the fully loaded Signature series, Tesla is
producing the 90D configurations before moving to the 70D models,
independent of reservation sequence number. Tesla has even stopped
displaying sequence number for reservation holders because it has no direct
bearing on production timing. For Model 3, there will be no Signature
series, but the configuration that a customer chooses will ultimately have
the most impact on when that customer can expect to receive his or her car.

That being said, earlier sequence numbers for the Model X were invited to
configure sooner. Once those configured orders are confirmed, then the
production priority comes into play. So sequence number will probably have
some relevance on when you can configure, but it does not guarantee
production priority.

Federal tax credit uncertainty
This is probably the most important part, so listen up. There is a lot of
uncertainty regarding the $7,500 federal tax credit, which is why it's smart
for Tesla to focus its message on the pre-tax sticker price of $35,000.

For starters, the $7,500 federal tax credit begins to get phased out after a
manufacturer reaches 200,000 cumulative EV sales within the United States.
Since Tesla rarely breaks out its unit sales geographically, it's very
difficult for public investors and consumers to forecast when it will hit
that point. The most recent shareholder letter gave a rare glimpse, while
touting how the Model S dominated the large luxury vehicle market last year.
Model S sales jumped 51% in the U.S. last year, while all of Tesla's direct
competitors in this market segment saw sales fall.

In the process, Tesla disclosed that it sold nearly 42,000 electric cars in
2014 and 2015 combined. It's very difficult to guess when Tesla will hit the
200,000 threshold that triggers the phaseout. Most analysts think it will be
2018. But that has some potentially large implications for customers that
might be factoring in the tax credit to their purchase decision, since that
would bring the starting price down to $27,500. If the Model 3 generates
blowout demand that takes a long time to fulfill, customers might see that
tax credit hang in the balance as they wait.

Considering the production prioritization, there's a bit of a trade-off.
Ordering a highly optioned model will cost more but will likely be delivered
sooner and have better odds of qualifying for the full federal tax credit.

How the federal tax credit works
On top of all that, there's also some important details about how the
federal tax credit actually works. The $7,500 credit can only be applied if
the customer has a tax liability of $7,500 or more, and any unused portion
is not refundable and can not be carried forward. That means if you only
have a tax liability of $5,000 for the year you take delivery, then the
remaining $2,500 disappears unused.

Up until now, Tesla customers who buy a Model S or Model X are generally
higher-income individuals, so they generally have no problem claiming the
full credit. But since Model 3 is targeting the mass market, it becomes
quite important. An individual making less than $50,000 may not have a tax
liability of $7,500 or more and therefore may not be eligible for the full
credit. Of course, everyone's tax situation is different and there are a lot
of variables, so you should consult your own tax advisor for detailed
specifics ...

Evan Niu, CFA owns shares of Tesla Motors. The Motley Fool owns shares of
and recommends Tesla Motors.
[© fool.com]
...
http://nysepost.com/teslas-model-3-could-cost-as-little-as-25k-124747
Tesla's Model 3 Could Cost As Little As $25K
Feb 14 2016  Model 3 is an important platform for the electric-car company
that's best known for its Model S sedan and Model X SUV. Musk, who owns
roughly a quarter of all Tesla shares, purchased more than 1.2 million
additional …
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