Really, it's hard to say. Tesla's high end models would be fine, along with other makers who have added EVs to their luxury models. But did the tax credit accelerate Nissan's and GM's entry to market? And, later, others?

The other factor playing is the fuel economy mandates. Personally, I think that is a more effective tool, requiring models across the spectrum to be more efficient. You can't meet the mandate just by selling 1% EVs. The average has to come from, well, the average sale. At first, this might mean substantially higher manufacturing costs, but as others have pointed out, economy of scale would quickly bring that down.

Peri

------ Original Message ------
From: "paul dove via EV" <[email protected]>
To: "Electric Vehicle Discussion List" <[email protected]>
Cc: "paul dove" <[email protected]>
Sent: 08-Aug-18 11:00:54 AM
Subject: Re: [EVDL] George W. Bush--Father of the modem electric car

Tesla started in 2003 well before Bushes action in 2008.
It was going to happen even without the government.

The government just impeded real progress by creating a false economy.

Remember Bush was the one who brought us $100,000 rebate if you buy a Humvee 5 years before the $7500 EV credit.


     From: Lee Hart via EV <[email protected]>
To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List <[email protected]>
Cc: Lee Hart <[email protected]>
Sent: Wednesday, August 8, 2018 12:47 PM
Subject: Re: [EVDL] George W. Bush--Father of the modem electric car

Lawrence Rhodes via EV wrote:
Hmmmm. I don't agree. Without the rebate I won't own two Leafs. Lawrence Rhodes

Me too. Without the rebates and CA mandates, the automakers would never
have produced any EVs.

When a technology has a monopolistic "lock" on the market, and benefits
from all sorts of economies of scale and government incentives, there is
no way for a new technology to break into the market. The rebates and
mandates were necessary to allow change to even be possible.

--
There is hardly anything in the world that someone cannot make a
little worse and sell a little cheaper. Those who consider price
alone are that person's lawful prey. -- John Ruskin
--
Lee Hart, 814 8th Ave N, Sartell MN 56377, www.sunrise-ev.com
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