https://insideevs.com/tesla-supercharging-network-wins/
Here’s Why Tesla’s Supercharging Network Will Prevail
2019-01-01  MARK KANE

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Tesla accounted for ~ 80% of all-electric car sales in the U.S.this past
year.

From time to time we read in comments about the fairly decent Tesla
Supercharging network and not that much progress in the case of CHAdeMO or
CCS Combo 1 (SAE J1772 Combo) DC fast chargers.

Tesla was able to cover most important highways and some metro areas,
deliver 120 kW DC output, developed its own charging connector and even the
fees are comparable with electricity costs. Why the two other standards were
progressing much slower – initially with just 50 kW and no infrastructure
supporting long-distance travel?

Well, let’s take a look on the demand side for DC fast charging. The demand
is highly correlated with the number of fast rechargeable cars (we obviously
need to skip all the PHEVs, which don’t have a DC inlet or, in the case of
i3 REx, doesn’t have that much incentive to use DC charger on the route as a
BEV).

Volume

Tesla had two major advantages over the past six years since 2012 when the
Model S came out. First is the volume of sales of fast rechargeable cars –
almost all of the 318,000 of S, X and 3 sold so far have the ability to use
Superchargers (besides no more than a few percent of Model S cars several
years ago, when DC was an option). No other standard can boast such a high
number.

Last year, Tesla accounted for almost 80% of all-electric car sales in the
U.S., which obviously will translate in higher demand for the
infrastructure.
Premium segment

The second advantage is the premium segment – the higher prices and higher
margins translates to the ability to invest in the infrastructure. The
advantage of having the network partially pays off because it encourages
more customers and is like an ad.

In the high-end segment, battery capacity and charging power is usually
higher, as well as the demand for long-distance travel capability.

Tesla Supercharging

Musk: Tesla Supercharger Network Will Expand Greatly In Europe In 2019
Tesla Model 3 Spotted CCS Charging At Fastned Station
Tesla Semi Juices Up From 5 Superchargers At Same Time: Video
 U.S. BEV Sales (Cumulative) By Charging Standard (Potential)

In case of other standards, the volume and average prices are lower, so it
was more difficult to support the infrastructure rollout – regardless of who
would pay for it (manufacturer or 3rd party network).

Nissan LEAF and CHAdeMO plug

Japanese CHAdeMO standard was the first, but despite it being the same
around the world (as the only one), it failed to become a global standard
(it’s losing traction in Europe and the U.S. and didn’t catch on in China).

Besides the Nissan LEAF, initially Mitsubishi i-MiEV and Kia Soul EV (soon
it will switch to CCS), there are no models for the CHAdeMO chargers. As
LEAF sales remain disappointing, everything that CHAdeMO can count on is the
dual-head chargers with CCS.

Only about 136,322 LEAF, i-MiEV and Soul EV were sold by November 2018, but
as not all of them were equipped with the CHAdeMO DC charging inlet (we
assume maybe 75-80% are), there is a smaller fleet and slower progress, as
well as no need for much more than 50 kW chargers.

CCS Combo 1 (SAE J1772 Combo)
Chevrolet Bolt EV w/Optional CCS Combo

North American’s version of the CCS started around 2013 with the Chevrolet
Spark EV (discontinued in 2016), followed by BMW i3, Volkswagen e-Golf,
Chevrolet Bolt EV, Ford Focus Electric (DC from 2017), Hyundai IONIQ
Electric and Honda Clarity Electric. The latest model is Jaguar I-PACE.
Those models in total noted over 103,000 sales, which determines the
potential for CCS. As the BMW i3 was available with REx and DC was an option
(only for 2014 in the U.S.), we assume that probably less than 65-70% are
fast rechargeable (but more like 95% are in the U.S.).

The growing number of CCS compatible models, especially the upcoming premium
models (Jaguar, Audi, Porsche, Mercedes), as well as the Electrify America
initiative (with hundreds of new stations) probably will highly improve the
CCS progress.

It’s still unclear though whether CCS will catch Tesla Superchargers 10
years from now, especially if Tesla introduces the high volume Model Y and
electric pickup (the hottest segments), thus securing the majority of BEV
sales in the country.

So, in conclusion, Tesla’s dominance on the sales front will alone push the
Supercharger network from its already-leading spot to a place even higher up
the ladder in the future.
[© insideevs.com]


+
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Clean energy leader Costa Rica turns attention to electric cars
Dec 27, 2018  "In five years, there could be 40,000 electric vehicles." ICE
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http://media.zenfs.com/en_us/News/afp.com/790d30258c96af8b39acc4fb2048be2ca1a45dbe.jpg




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