Hi Mark etc,

 

Fundamentally: There's really *too* many variables to do FSD (full self
driving) safely.  

 

I just got back from Blacksburg, VA, professor Dave's Tesla-3 with the
*latest* as of 2-8-22 self driving software to show off.  We let it drive us
around Blacksburg (about 30 minutes) and it got confused, *stuck* in a
round-a-bout, another road T, had to give it some accel and then made a left
turn *almost hitting* a big black truck head-on (Dave jerked the steering
wheel thankfully).  Going back through the neighborhood, someone popped out
between two parked vehicles on the side of the road and it almost clipped
her.  Due droplets on the cameras (or mud) can cause intermittent issues
I've found.  It's a great EV but Tesla needs to drop this self driving
thing, not worth having live folks as experiments.  

 

I thought with multiple computers drop out issues would be solved, but now
I'm convinced after seeing firsthand actual FSD errors not to pay the extra
(now $12K I was just told) to be part of Elon's experiment.

 

Best Regards,

The other Mark Hanson

 

Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 08:43:29 +0000 (UTC)

From: Mark Laity-Snyder <[email protected]>

To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List <[email protected]>

Subject: [EVDL] Fw: Request Tesla crash data

Message-ID: <[email protected]>

Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"

 

Mark:? Thanks for this.? I am not sure if it will help.? I agree with you
that Tesla should have two or even 3 computers for full self driving.? If
one were to glitch out, that is all that is preventing you or many others
from being injured or killed.? Tesla has a 5 star safety rating.? So the
passengers and driver will probably be ok but bystanders be aware.

EVDL: ?I am the guy Mark was talking about.??Story time!? So my wife got in
the 1st Tesla accident.? FSD was on and she was driving.? She was fiddling
with the sound system (or something) on the lovely screen that practically
begs you to play with it and we were on a road we don't often go down.? It
happened to be a T intersection with a stop sign.? She saw the stop sign too
late and ran into a short wall.? This was before FSD registered stop signs
and would have slowed down for a stop sign.? Such is our luck.? On the 2nd
Tesla accident, I can't remember the details leading to the accident since I
sustained a pretty bad head injury (enough to cause double vision for 6
months).? However we saw the dash cam footage which shows the car just
driving off the road.? No change in speed or course correction.? I was given
many tests after the accident to rule out some physical problem that may
have caused me to lose consciousness.? There was no smoking gun that would
say "Yes he lost consciou  sness because...".? I am lucky Tesla has that 5
star safety rating because other than the double vision I had no lasting
injuries.? The people who were going to move the vehicle wanted to cut the
vehicle at the battery.? Fortunately someone realized it was a Tesla and
didn't do that which would have started a runaway fire.??

So lessons learned are exactly what folks have said about losing focus.? FSD
is very good ALMOST all the time.? In that one case out of 1000+ the human
must be ready to take over in a split second. I am still very hopeful for
FSD to be solved. If any company can do it it will be Tesla at this point
since they have the most data.? I think the super computer is just used for
training the cars to get better and the more data they have the faster that
will happen.? Waymo has a lovely system that only works in the geofenced
area that is premapped and safe.? ?I agree with Lawrence that cameras should
be all that is needed.? Radar was probably giving false signals.? Then there
is question of priority.? The cameras see all clear but the radar sees
something else like a leaf or snow or a rabbit.? Which one has priority???

I am not sure where my focus was but it was not where it needed to be.? I
was out of work for over 8 months and now I can't afford to replace the
Tesla.? It is a great car.? Even after all that, I would probably get FSD
again especially since it is improving so rapidly.? It is like having a
front row seat watching our computer overlords take their first steps before
they take over our lives.

 

   ----- Forwarded Message ----- From: mark hanson
<[email protected]>To: 'Mark Laity-Snyder' <[email protected]>Sent:
Friday, February 4, 2022, 10:39:55 PM ESTSubject: Request Tesla crash data

Hi Mark,

 

?

 

I saw a few articles that Tesla will supply the crash data recorded in the
vehicle: https://www.tesla.com/support/privacy .? I think you said in both
your cases, that the vehicle thought the self driving or auto pilot was off
when it was actually on.? It needs at least 3 computers to vote for life
critical operations, like self driving on a curvy road ? glitch, drops out &
goes straight, ok for a desk PC but not for a vehicle.? Seeing this thread
go around on the EVlist again.

 

?

 

Have a renewable energy day,

 

?

 

Mark

 

?

 

Mark E. Hanson

 

 

 

  

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Message: 2

Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 06:21:49 -0500

From: Peter Eckhoff <[email protected]>

To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List <[email protected]>

Subject: [EVDL] Request Tesla crash data

Message-ID:

      <CADDOj2ASKMeyZHfj4Ez2p=Uodo9DTbhWFaOLKn=sxj8r643...@mail.gmail.com>

Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"

 

All these stories remind me of the one where there was a road with a sharp
left turn.  One foggy night, some kid ran the yellow line at the apex of the
"L" straight up the proverbial oak tree.  In the morning, he came back and
found he got a car.  Someone was following the yellow line right up and into
that tree.

 

That story has me thinking that Tesla, Waymo, etc. are needing to pass a
Pankster Obstacle Situation (POS) test in order to be certified as anywhere
near Level 5.

 

At a T-intersection, Tesla missed a Stop sign??  Why did it not recognize
that it was at a Stop signable intersection and come to a complete (okay
"the coast is clear" rolling) stop?  What would happen if a drunk took out
the sign the day before and it had not been replaced?  What happens if a kid
places a garbage bag over the stop sign in an impromptu POS test?

 

In an interview between Sandy Munro and Elon Musk, Musk was saying that road
line painting was not standardized and Tesla was having a hard time
navigating through road construction areas.  Here you have an area where
people are working and are expecting to go home at shift's end instead of to
a hospital or morgue.  Okayyy, Tesla is working on it.

 

Last night, I put my Tesla Model Y into Autopilot a little before a
construction area.  It was a slow drizzle/rainy night.  Autopilot lost it
and I had to take control.  I'm grateful that no one was beside me and it
didn't go the other direction and into a Jersey Barrier.

Autopilot had grabbed the "wrong lines"?

 

The more questions I ask of FSD and its kin, the more I am convinced that
the sensors should be beefing up the driver's skills and alerting them to
possible bad situations instead of trying to play God with your safety and
mine.

 

I think we have to ask questions of any FSD system.  FSD is not an airliner
being able to fly autonomously between point A and B in a well controlled
airspace or SpaceX nailing a landing on a barge somewhere out in the middle
of the Atlantic.  We are dealing with situations where people, cars, and
environmental factors interact in a myriad of ways every second of the day.
You don't have a kid kicking a ball out onto a runaway or a
commuter/pedestrian with "get home-itis" in the middle of the Atlantic.
When was the last time a deer crossed the path of a SpaceX rocket?

 

I think it is past time to rethink about obtaining Level 5 and concentrate
on beefing up driver awareness of potential problems and letting the
computer between our ears try and handle these situations.

We are far better in reading the intentions of other drivers and pedestrians
than any FSD package that may have a problem recognizing and then displaying
the silhouette of a pedestrian.

 

Peter Eckhoff

 

PS  I love my Model Y and I am not going to sell it.  She's like a beloved
girl friend with a few bad habits.

 

 

Have a renewable energy day,

 

Mark

 

Mark E. Hanson

184 Vista Lane

Fincastle, VA 24090

540-473-1248 phone & FAX, 540-816-0812 cell

REEVA: community service RE & EV project club

Website: www.REEVAdiy.org (See Project Gallery)

UL Certified PV Installer

My RE&EV Circuits: www.EVDL.org/lib/mh 

REEVA Demo:  <http://youtu.be/4kqWn2H-rA0> http://youtu.be/4kqWn2H-rA0 

 
<https://www.weatherlink.com/embeddablePage/show/a88920376f864ecabaed843dd89
75b8d/signature> Fincastle Solar Weather Station

 

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