On Fri, Aug 22, 2025 at 9:43 PM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote:

* >>Having a better AI model bypasses the need for more electricity*
>>
>>
>  >> *No it does not! Regardless of how efficient an AI model is, the more
>> computational resources it has available the more intelligent it will be,
>> and the more new computer models you will be able to train.*
>
>
> *> Yes it does!  Regardless of how much more electricity you have a more
> efficient model may be superior. *
>

*Superior to what? If your AI is not lousy then more computing power will
result in more intelligence. If your AI is lousy then more computing power
will enable you to find a new AI model, or even a new AI architecture, that
is less lousy. So your assertion that a more efficient AI will lead to less
demand for computing power is simply not true. *

*That's why on January 27 when Nvidia lost $600 billion in one day because
the Chinese had made a more efficient AI, the largest one day loss in Wall
Street history, I took that opportunity to buy more Nvidia stock. The
market had forgotten about Jevons Paradox, but I hadn't. I don't know which
AI will end up winning the race but I do know that whoever the winner is
he, she or it will never feel that it has too much computing power. In a
gold rush the people who make the most money are not those who dig holes in
the ground but those who sell picks and shovels. *


> *> Races are only one-dimensional.*
>

*Not if there are a huge number of branching ways to reach the finish line
and it's not obvious which path will get you there in the least amount of
time. *

*John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>*
e4j

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