On Mon, Jan 20, 2014 at 10:50:06PM +1300, LizR wrote:
> On 20 January 2014 22:39, Russell Standish <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> > The point about acting randomly is that clearly you are not optimising
> > your utility. You a choosing something other than the optimum action,
> > so are behaving irrationally by definition. Yet, it could be a
> > beneficial strategy to do so, for all the reasons raised (fooling your
> > opponents, making a timely decision, and so on).
> >
> > Sorry to be dense, but I still don't see this. When I say "acting
> randomly", I assume we don't mean just doing anything, deciding to go
> swimming in the arctic or declaring yourself to be Napoleon, I assume we
> mean picking one of a number of options that appear to have equal utility.
> 
> Let's say we're playing scissors-paper-rock. The best strategy - the one
> that gives you the best chance of winning at least half the time - is to
> choose randomly. Anyone who doesn't choose randomly is open to having their
> moves predicted, and losing more often than they otherwise would. So in
> this case acting randomly is rational... isn't it?
> 

A rational player is at extreme disadvantage in the game of
scissors-paper-rock, as they will be unable to choose the optimal
action. Think what Spock would do - most likely he'd give up in disgust
after a few milliseconds. The other fictional character I can think of
is the computer in "War Games" "A curious game. The only winning
strategy is not to play."
(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NHWjlCaIrQo).

Of course one can augment a rational agent with a random choice in the
event of tied choices. I don't think that is usally done in the
literature, though. But in the case of choosing between a choice that
optimises the utility and one that doesn't, a rational agent _must_
choose the optimal one - even if strategically this can lead to
exploitation by competitors.

-- 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Prof Russell Standish                  Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
Principal, High Performance Coders
Visiting Professor of Mathematics      [email protected]
University of New South Wales          http://www.hpcoders.com.au
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