On 10 June 2014 10:26, meekerdb <[email protected]> wrote:

> On 6/9/2014 7:38 AM, Gabriel Bodeen wrote:
>
>> I thought this blog post and the ensuing comments were a fascinating
>> perspective on the increasing problem of medical science not replicating.
>>
>> "The Control Group is Out of Control"
>> http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/04/28/the-control-group-is-out-of-control/
>> > Trying to set up placebo science would be a logistical nightmare. You’d
>> have
>> > to find a phenomenon that definitely doesn’t exist, somehow convince a
>> whole
>> > community of scientists across the world that it does, and fund them to
>> study
>> > it for a couple of decades without them figuring out the gig.
>> >
>> > Luckily we have a natural experiment in terms of parapsychology – the
>> study
>> > of psychic phenomena – which most reasonable people don’t believe exists
>> > but which a community of practicing scientists does and publishes
>> papers on
>> > all the time.
>> >
>> > The results are pretty dismal.
>>
>
> A big part of the problem is that theories are being tested just by
> experiment and statistics.  This happens in parapsychology and to a lesser
> degree in medicine because there is no established background of theories
> that the new theory must mesh with.  For comparison look at how the
> Tronnies theory is treat on this forum.  No one asks how many positive
> results have been replicated.


I asked for testable predictions, but most of the ones I got weren't
actually predictions, just restatements of the theory. You can't get a
positive result until you know what the theory predicts!

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