On 10 Jun 2014, at 06:51, Russell Standish wrote:
On Tue, Jun 10, 2014 at 04:39:14PM +1200, LizR wrote:
On 10 June 2014 14:52, meekerdb <[email protected]> wrote:
On 6/9/2014 6:48 PM, Russell Standish wrote:
OK - there are 2 future branches, A and B, each of which have equal
objective probability of occurring. Ie the Born rule says each
has a
probability of 0.5.
However, perhaps _subjectively_, Alice sees branch A with
probability
0.9 and branch B with probability 0.1, and Bob sees branch A with
probability 0.1 and branch B with probability 0.9.
If there are only two branches then Alice see each with
probability 1.0.
From a bird's eye view you can renormalize this and call it 0.5.
But I
don't see any way to even assign meaning to 0.1 or 0.9 when the
branch
probabilities are 0.5.
Me neither. Glad we agree on something :-)
Over to you, Russell. What are we missing?
The probabilities are those of entering branch A or B from the
unbranched state the precedes them.
You're making an assumption that this measure is proportional to the
cardinality of those branches. I'm making no such assumption. That's
all.
But then your first person experience will depart from the gaussian
one, that we can observe, in the 3p view of the many 1-views which are
defined by the testimony of the experiences in the observable many
diaries. In the iterated WM duplication, you will get a majority of
doppelgangers criticizing your "selection" as arbitrary.
Of course this is assuming we already inherit the normality which must
exist with comp, and seems to exist technically, and also empirically,
of course, ... well I hope.
Bruno
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