All of these studies reference externally received radiation and do not address 
the very different situation of radionuclides becoming incorporated or lodged 
into living tissue. What is the long term effect of a radionuclide – radiating 
the same cluster of cells immediately adjacent to it in body tissue over the 
period of time which the radionuclide is lodged or incorporated into that 
specific location. 

It is not enough to consider the external dosage received from external sources 
– e.g. an X-ray device or being in the vicinity of a emitting source. One has 
to consider each radionuclide by itself. What is the radionuclides 
bio-availability, can it become incorporated into living tissue (like for 
example Strontium-90, which can become incorporated into living bone tissue 
getting uptake by the bodies calcium uptake channels.) 

One would probably be relatively safe sleeping over a small lump of cellophane 
wrapped plutonium for example (would not recommend this though LOL) as long as 
there was some barrier, but a single minute particle of that plutonium lodged 
into say lung tissue would be a very serious matter indeed.

You cannot get an accurate risk profile for radioactive materials without 
separately, considering the risk that nano or micro scale form factor 
radionuclides pose for living organisms when these become ingested (through 
breathing, drinking, eating) and either lodged into living tissue (say lung 
tissue or the web of small capillaries of the kidneys for example) to then 
begin to continuously radiate a single small region for long durations of time.

Focusing only on studies that measure the long term effects of low doses from 
external sources fail to cover this kind of effect.

Chris

 

 

From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of John Clark
Sent: Saturday, July 05, 2014 10:53 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: How dangerous is radiation?

 

Everybody agrees that huge amounts of radiation are harmful or fatal, 
especially if received virtually instantaneously as in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, 
but do more moderate amounts received much more slowly really increase the 
likelihood of getting cancer and death years later? All our public policy 
regarding nuclear power is based on the assumption that the answer is yes, in 
particular it is assumed that the linear no threshold (LNT) theory is correct. 
But is it? If death rates were always linear and it was known that there was a 
50% chance that when people were hit in the head with a 3 pound iron ball 
moving at 20 mph they would die then if a million people were hit in the head 
with a iron ball 6000 times less massive you’d expect about 83 people to die, 
but in actuality a .008 ounce BB moving at 20 mph wouldn’t even break the skin 
and nobody would die. It doesn’t work for iron balls but is the LNT theory 
correct for radiation? For obvious ethical reasons there isn't a lot of data on 
this subject but there is some. 

The natural background radiation of the Rocky Mountain states in the USA is 3.2 
times higher than in the Gulf States, and yet the cancer death rate in the Gulf 
States is 1.26 times HIGHER than in the Rocky Mountain states.

Radiologists spend their lives exposed to X rays, but they have less cancer and 
a lower death rate  than other physicians. People who became radiologists 
between 1955 and 1970 had a 29% lower cancer rate and a 32% lower death rate 
than non-radiologist physicians.

In 1983 steel bars used in the construction of 180 apartment buildings in 
Taiwan were accidentally contaminated with Cobalt 60, it took about a decade 
for this to be discovered and in the meantime 10,000 people were exposed and 
some residents received as much as 500 millisieverts per year, the average was 
50; by comparison the natural background level is only 3.3 millisieverts. In a 
group of people that large you’d expect that 232 would die from cancer by now, 
and if the LNT theory is true you’d expect 70 additional would die due to the 
excess radiation, so there should have been 302 deaths from cancer; but the 
astonishing thing is that only 7 people died of cancer. In addition the LNT 
theory predicts there should have been 46 birth defects, but the actual number 
was 3.

A study was done on 71,000 people who were shipyard workers between 1957 and 
1981, they were divided into 3 categories, a high dose group received more than 
0.5 rem, a low dose group that received less than that, and a control group of 
shipyard workers that didn’t work on nuclear ships and so received no excess 
radiation. Actuarial studies show that the high radiation group had a 25% LOWER 
death rate than the control no radiation group; the low radiation group had a 
bigger death rate than the high radiation group but it was still lower than the 
zero radiation control group of shipyard workers. 

These results are the exact opposite of what the LNT theory predicts and 
incredibly it seems to indicate that modest amounts of radiation received over 
a long period of time can actually be beneficial. 

  John K Clark 

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