Telmo,

Very creative solution! I think you may have been the first to out-smart
the super-intelligence. Although would you risk $1,000,000 to gain the
extra $1,000 on the belief that the super intelligence hasn't figured out a
way to predict or account for collapse?  QM could always be wrong of
course, or maybe the super intelligence knows we're in a simulation and has
reverse engineered the state of the pseudorandom number generator used to
give the appearance of collapse/splitting. :-)

Jason

On Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 10:59 AM, Telmo Menezes <te...@telmomenezes.com>
wrote:

>
>
> On Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 9:55 AM, Jason Resch <jasonre...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> I started quite a lively debate at work recently by bringing up Newcomb's
>> Paradox. We debated topics ranging from the prisoner's dilemma to the
>> halting problem, from free will to retro causality, from first person
>> indeterminacy to Godel's incompleteness.
>>
>> My colleagues were about evenly split between one-boxing and two-boxing,
>> and I was curious if there would be any more consensus among the members of
>> this list. If you're unfamiliar with the problem there are descriptions
>> here:
>>
>> http://www.philosophyexperiments.com/newcomb/
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcomb%27s_paradox
>>
>> If you reach a decision, please reply with whether your strategy would be
>> to take one box or two, what assumptions you make, and why you think your
>> strategy is best. I don't want to bias the results so I'll provide my
>> answer in a follow-up post.
>>
>
> Employ a quantum noise source to generate a random decision. With it,
> generate a very slightly unbalanced coin flip. Use it to decide on one box
> vs. two boxes. Give "one box" a very slight advantage. The only rational
> choice for the oracle is to bet on "one box". You get 1 million with a
> probability of 0.51111 or the full 1.01 million with a probability of
> 0.49999.
>
> Telmo.
>
>
>>
>>
>> Jason
>>
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