RE: TEPCO admits Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1 core completely melted down

Fri, 20 Mar 2015 20:58:41 -0700 

 

 

From: [email protected] 
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of John Clark
Sent: Friday, March 20, 2015 1:22 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: TEPCO admits Fukushima Daiichi Unit 1 core completely melted down

 

In Fri, Mar 20, 2015 at  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List

 

> Just in case anybody wanted to pretend that the Fukushima disaster is behind 
> us; here is this piece of bad news, based on recent telemetry using muon 
> detectors for imaging the reactor vessels. The core of reactor units 1 
> appears to have melted through both the reactor itself and the outer 
> containment structure. This is also the likely situation for units 2 and 3 as 
> well. A total meltdown is not a good scenario – and that is a huge 
> understatement.

 

I disagree.  Assuming the above is true, and it probably is, that would be 
WONDERFUL news. In a water cooled reactor, the sort that is used everywhere ( 
except for Chernobyl and other reactors in the former USSR which used graphite) 
a core meltdown is as bad a disaster as it gets, and having the fourth largest 
earthquake ever recorded right under the plant caused billions of dollars of 
damage, but Fukushima killed NOBODY. So apparently the worst that can happen to 
a water cooled nuclear power reactor is bad but not all that bad. The death 
toll from the huge earthquake was 20,000, but the death toll from Fukushima was 
zero.  

 

The incurred cancer deaths will happen quietly, years, decades, centuries and 
millennia later and they will happen off camera, but that does not mean that 
they will not happen. I doubt we will ever know the final death toll – many 
tens of thousands of years from now when the released corium decays through 
various decay series into relatively innocuous elemental products – along the 
way slowly leeching into the biosphere over the centuries, millennia and tens 
of millennia. However one thing I think is clear is that your figure of zero 
deaths has a zero percent probability of being correct…. Over the long run.

Chris

 

 John K Clark   

 

 

 

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