On Tue, Mar 24, 2015  Telmo Menezes <[email protected]> wrote:

>> it will be more than human.
>>
>
> >I'm not sure what that means.
>

It means that a future machine can perform any task in a way that is
superior to way that any human who ever lived could using any definition of
"superior" that you care to name.


>  > Watson "understanding" a question is not possible in the absence of an
> answer.
>

If I ask you "assuming Eastern Standard Time did the Big Bang happen on a
Thursday?" you understand the question you just don't have the answer in
your mental database. Watson would answer "no" figuring that there were 6
chances in 7 that such a answer would be correct.


> > Watson cannot speculate on an answer
>

That's not true, Watson usually came up with dozens of potential answers
but he wasn't absolutely certain about any of them, so using one of his
most sophisticated algorithms he gave each possibility a score based on the
level of confidence he had of it being correct and then picked the one with
the highest score. Sometimes Watson wasn't very confident about any of the
potential answers he dreamed up but he had to say something, he usually got
those wrong.

Generally when Watson was wrong he knew he was probably wrong. I find that
significant.

  John K Clark

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