On Tuesday, November 22, 2022 at 2:40:09 PM UTC-6 jessem wrote:

> One result that might lend itself to a hypothetical frequentist take on QM 
> probabilities is discussed by David Z Albert on p. 237-238 of the book The 
> Cosmos of Science, those pages can be read at 
> https://books.google.com/books?id=_HgF3wfADJIC&lpg=PP1&pg=PA238#v=onepage&q&f=false
>  
> . He considers a scenario where a measuring device is interacting with an 
> infinite series of identically prepared quantum systems, and creating a 
> "pointer state" that tells you just the fraction of those systems that 
> showed a certain result (like an electron being spin-up), and he considers 
> what happens if we analyze this scenario without invoking the collapse 
> postulate or the Born rule, instead just modeling the measurements as 
> entanglement between the measuring system and the system being measured. 
> After a finite number of trials the pointer will be in a superposition of 
> states, but in the infinite limit, all the amplitude becomes concentrated 
> on the eigenstate of the pointer measurement operator where the pointer 
> shows the correct quantum-mechanical probability (for example, "1/2 of all 
> trials showed spin-up").
>
> This type of collapse-free derivation of something like probability in the 
> infinite limit is also discussed in section 5 of the paper at 
> https://www.academia.edu/6975159/Quantum_dispositions_and_the_notion_of_measurement
>  
> starting on p. 12, apparently the result is known as "Mittelstaedt's 
> theorem". I suppose this result can't really explain why we seem to see 
> definite outcomes (as opposed to superpositions) after a finite number of 
> trials without some additional QM interpretation, but it at least has a 
> "flavor" reminiscent of hypothetical frequentism.
>
>
I am not one to engage a lot in these arguments. I see quantum mechanics 
has having a limited number of postulates. These are:

Quantum amplitudes are complex valued and have modulus squares that are 
probabilities.

Observable outcomes are the eigenvalues of Hermitian or self-adjoint 
operators Aψ = aψ.

Transformations of quantum states and their evolution are defined by 
unitary operators ψ' = Uψ and ψ(t) = U(t)ψ(0), which are generated by 
self-adjoint operators.

The Born rule, which is similar to the Euclid 5th axiom in that people 
think it should be provable from the other 3 axioms.

Whether QM is Bayesian or frequentist is rather related to the question of 
whether it is ψ-epistemic or ψ-ontic respectively. I do not think either 
stance is provable within the structure of QM, or observable by 
experimentation. The Copenhagen and Qubism interpretations are 
ψ-epistemological while the Everettian Many Worlds, transactional, Bohm and 
some others are ψ-ontological interpretations. Which ever one you want you 
can freely choose. I have some rather deep ideas about this with respect to 
the unprovability of quantum interpretations.

LC
 

> On Tue, Nov 22, 2022 at 10:54 AM Lawrence Crowell <
> [email protected]> wrote:
>
>> There are two concepts of probability and statistics, Bayesianism and 
>> frequentism (orthodox view), which formulate probability in somewhat 
>> different ways. I would say that quantum mechanics might be the most 
>> rigorous definition of probability. I would be tempted to say it is more 
>> Bayesian than frequentist. 
>>
>> LC
>>
>> On Monday, November 21, 2022 at 8:15:19 PM UTC-6 [email protected] wrote:
>>
>>> On 22-11-2022 02:47, Brent Meeker wrote: 
>>> > On 11/21/2022 5:12 PM, smitra wrote: 
>>> >> The problem lies with the notion of probability, he explains here 
>>> that 
>>> >> it cannot refer to anything in the physics world as an exact 
>>> >> statement: 
>>> >> 
>>> >> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfzSE4Hoxbc&t=1036s 
>>> >> 
>>> >> That's then a problem for a fundamental theory of physics as such a 
>>> >> theory must refer to statements about nature that are exactly true. 
>>> > 
>>> > Who says so?  Physics never makes exact measurements.  Why should the 
>>> > theory do something that the physics can't?  Deutsch is like the 
>>> > scholastics, he thinks physics is just a branch of mathematical logic. 
>>> > 
>>> > Brent 
>>>
>>> But physics cannot implement a rigorous notion of probability. So, that 
>>> then makes QM in the traditional formulation problematic. 
>>>
>>> Saibal 
>>>
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