On Sat, Jan 27, 2024 at 9:48 AM smitra <[email protected]> wrote:

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> *> It may well happen this year:
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98kMSEkPiLo&t=2588s
> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98kMSEkPiLo&t=2588s>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzSZusNq67M&t=1042s
> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzSZusNq67M&t=1042s>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4JuCx5FCVyQ
> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4JuCx5FCVyQ>*


Interesting. But on the bright side there's the fact that the Chinese army
is not battle hardened, they haven't fought a war in 70 years but during
that time the US has fought almost continuously in one place or another.
And then there's this:

* China’s Military Scandal: Why a Taiwan Invasion Might Have Just Become
Impossible <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oupSYGUL0dE>*

  John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
crf


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> On 25-01-2024 21:50, John Clark wrote:
> > What is the most important company in the world? I think it's the
> > Taiwan chipmaker TSMC because it manufactures 90% of the world's most
> > advanced microchips and if they were to cease operations, or even if
> > two or three of their largest factories were destroyed, there would be
> > a worldwide depression. Warren Buffett has said " _TSMC is one of the
> > best-managed companies and important companies in the world, there's
> > no one in the chip industry that's in TSMC's league"_. Nevertheless,
> > Buffett recently sold all his shares in TSMC because "_I don't like
> > their location_".
> >
> > Some say the reason China wants Taijuan so badly is so they can get
> > their hands on TSMC, but others say that would be foolish because if
> > they use military force the factories would likely be destroyed,
> > either in the fighting or by the Taiwanese themselves to avoid them
> > falling into Chinese hands. And even if they remained intact there
> > would be such a huge brain drain nobody would be around to operate
> > them. And even if they could find the people the Chinese would be cut
> > off from foreign semiconductor equipment suppliers that they need,
> > like Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron, and above all ASML. Not to
> > mention the fact that the Taiwanese don't design chips, they just
> > manufacture them. So invading Taiwan would harm the Chinese economy
> > just as much as it would harm the rest of the world, however history
> > has shown that just because something is stupid does not mean a
> > country won't do it, look at Putin's invasion of Ukraine. Incidentally
> > an invasion of Taiwan by the Chinese would be one of the few things
> > that would delay, but not prevent, the Singularity.
>
>

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